Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.8 | $0.790 | $3.4 | +$0.4 |
 Will RISE launch a token by September 30, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?No | buy | 3.41 | $0.880 | $3 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 3.19 |
| $0.940 |
| $3.13 |
| +$0.13 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.16 | $0.950 | $2.99 | -$0.01 |
| Base FDV above $12B one day after launch? | No | 3.41 | $0.880 | $2.8 | -$0.2 |
 Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 3.22 | $0.933 | $2.66 | -$0.34 |
| Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 1.69 | $0.890 | $1.53 | +$0.03 |
| buy |
| 1.69 |
| $0.890 |
| $1.5 |
| Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Yes | buy | 321.24 | $0.510 | $163.83 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.16 | $0.950 | $3 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | buy | 3.22 | $0.933 | $3 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will RISE launch a token by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 3.19 | $0.940 | $3 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.8 | $0.790 | $3 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Daniel Quintero win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.998 | $1.2 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?No | buy | 6.29 | $0.954 | $6 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Fabric FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 5.08 | $0.985 | $5 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.990 | $11 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 8?No | buy | 128.63 | $0.510 | $65.6 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 Will XRP reach $6.00 in October?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.998 | $1.05 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 502 | $0.995 | $499.49 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 502.01 | $0.996 | $500 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 853.2 | $0.995 | $848.93 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 853.2 | $0.996 | $849.79 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 854.06 | $0.995 | $849.79 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 854.07 | $0.996 | $850.65 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 854.92 | $0.995 | $850.65 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 854.92 | $0.997 | $852.36 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.984 | $1.3 | Aug 21, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 300–324 times August 15–August 22?No | buy | 1.21 | $0.997 | $1.21 | Aug 21, 2025 |
 Will Solana reach $340 in August?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.997 | $1.12 | Aug 21, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $310b on May 31?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.998 | $1.02 | May 27, 2025 |
 Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by over 12%?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | May 27, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $3500 in May?No | buy | 50.66 | $0.991 | $50.2 | May 27, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "Median" during June Press Conference?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.950 | $1.03 | May 27, 2025 |
 Will the Conservative Party win the Northwest Territories seat in the next Canadian Election?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Apr 16, 2025 |
 Will France win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Apr 16, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on April 30?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.968 | $1.1 | Apr 16, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 550-599 times Feb 14-21?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Feb 20, 2025 |
 DeepSeek confirmed to have used banned Nvidia chips?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Feb 20, 2025 |
 Will fewer than 50k federal employees accept the buyout?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.997 | $1.12 | Feb 20, 2025 |
 East coast port strike in January?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Jan 13, 2025 |
 Sabato De Sarno out as creative Director of Gucci before February?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.965 | $1 | Jan 13, 2025 |
 Will USD0++ stabilize again before February?No | buy | 1.17 | $0.941 | $1.1 | Jan 13, 2025 |
 2024 December hottest on record?No | buy | 1.55 | $0.902 | $1.4 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 1.56 | $0.900 | $1.4 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No | buy | 0.8 | $0.870 | $0.7 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Pavel Durov leaves France in 2024?No | buy | 0.47 | $0.750 | $0.35 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64No | buy | 0.6 | $0.998 | $0.6 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 U.S. military action against Iran before November?No | buy | 0.04 | $0.900 | $0.04 | Oct 6, 2024 |
 Will Trump win Florida by 8+ points?No | buy | 0.05 | $0.750 | $0.04 | Oct 5, 2024 |
| 2024 October hottest on record?No | buy | 0.06 | $0.880 | $0.05 | Oct 4, 2024 |
 Will BetBoom Team win ESL Challenger Atlanta 2024?Yes | buy | 0.52 | $0.210 | $0.11 | Oct 3, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win Colorado Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 0.04 | $0.972 | $0.04 | Oct 2, 2024 |
 X drops antitrust case in 2024?No | buy | 0.06 | $0.830 | $0.05 | Oct 1, 2024 |
 Tether Insolvent in 2024?No | buy | 0.28 | $0.965 | $0.27 | Sep 27, 2024 |
 Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?Yes | buy | 0.27 | $0.620 | $0.17 | Sep 27, 2024 |