Analytics
Resolved No on 10 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 2.6% on 30 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 254 daily closes on record from 30 Jan 2025 to 10 Oct 2025, the highest close was 4.3% on 10 Feb 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 10 Oct 2025. $974.93K traded over the market's life.
241 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 11, 4:41 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 254 points, 30 Jan 2025 – 10 Oct 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jan 2025 | 2.6% |
| 10 Oct 2025 | 0.3% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk wins the 2025 Nobel Peace prize. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If Elon Musk wins the prize along with another person/entity, this market will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nobel-peace-prize-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Test49991 | Yes | 10K |
| ravenxx1205 | Yes | 10K |
| stevensjames | Yes | 4.36K |
| dotanno | Yes | 3.52K |
| wangbang | Yes | 2.57K |
| Giannis000 | Yes | 2.56K |
| loxozavr | Yes | 2.45K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
