Analytics
Yes is at 4.8%, down 45 points from 50% when the market opened on 12 Dec 2025.
Across the 298 daily closes on record from 12 Dec 2025 to 28 Oct 2026 (24 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 12 Dec 2025 and the lowest 3% on 9 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 4.7%; a month before, 5%. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 20.5% on 13 Dec 2025.
It is one of 6 markets under “Ink FDV above ___ one day after launch?”.
$29.67K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $21.42K, with a 1.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 408 trades, $1.17K bought Yes and $5.97K bought No.
The largest Yes position is SportsRecord with 1.2K shares; the largest No position is randomlypunting with 1.1K. Ten wallets hold 74.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 2:38 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 298 points, 12 Dec 2025 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Dec 2025 | 50.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 4.8% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SportsRecord | Yes | 1.19K |
| randomlypunting | No | 1.09K |
| WillFS | No | 1K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ink's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ink (http://inkonchain.com/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ink-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| banan |
| Yes |
| 860.42 |
| kevin-airdrop | No | 801.8 |
| Tayla | Yes | 630 |
| MoonArack | Yes | 587.03 |
| cryptorocket333 | No | 499.99 |
| lolitayu | Yes | 277.45 |
| Inkonchain | Yes | 246.15 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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