Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5.52 | +$0.52 |
 Major CEX insolvent in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5Over | buy | 308.18 | $0.510 | $157.17 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 5.62 |
| $0.890 |
| $5.41 |
| +$0.41 |
 Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | 4.22 | $0.948 | $4.02 | +$0.02 |
 Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 4.02 | $0.995 | $4.02 | +$0.02 |
 Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 3.66 | $0.930 | $3.37 | -$0.03 |
 Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? | No | 3.17 | $0.947 | $3.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.29 | $0.930 | $1.18 | -$0.02 |
 Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 0.13 | $0.997 | $0.13 | +$0 |
| buy |
| 1.29 |
| $0.930 |
| $1.2 |
| Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | buy | 3.66 | $0.930 | $3.4 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?No | buy | 3.17 | $0.947 | $3 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch?No | buy | 4.22 | $0.948 | $4 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will there be fewer than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.990 | $3 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 4.02 | $0.995 | $4 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will the US strike Cuba next?No | buy | 5.51 | $0.999 | $5.5 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Major CEX insolvent in 2026?No | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | buy | 11.03 | $0.997 | $11 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.41 | $0.850 | $1.2 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 18?No | buy | 1.62 | $0.988 | $1.6 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will AECOM (ACM) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.910 | $1.2 | Nov 15, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 17?No | buy | 104.36 | $0.550 | $57.4 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 Maduro out by November 30, 2025?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.926 | $1.1 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 Will Keir Starmer be the first leader out in 2025?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.997 | $1.04 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 917.9 | $0.995 | $913.31 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 917.95 | $0.996 | $914.28 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 918.87 | $0.995 | $914.28 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 918.88 | $0.996 | $915.2 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 919.8 | $0.995 | $915.2 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 919.8 | $0.996 | $916.12 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 920.73 | $0.995 | $916.13 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 920.73 | $0.996 | $917.05 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will anyone say "Datacenter" during the Q2 2025 Nvidia earnings call?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.992 | $1.1 | Aug 20, 2025 |
 Will Taylor Swift's appearance on New Heights get between 20 and 30 million views the first week?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Aug 20, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $6500 in August?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.992 | $1.14 | Aug 20, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $3500 in May?No | buy | 50.25 | $0.999 | $50.2 | May 29, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | May 29, 2025 |
 Will James Monroe Inglehart win the Tony for Best Leading Actor in a Musical 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | May 29, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.986 | $1.11 | May 29, 2025 |
 Will Elena Lasconi advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.958 | $1.1 | Apr 15, 2025 |
 New Pope in 2025?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Apr 15, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced before May?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.964 | $1.12 | Apr 15, 2025 |
 iPhone SE 4 under $500?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.991 | $1 | Feb 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump say 'inflation' 10+ times during the 2025 State of the Union?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.952 | $1 | Feb 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Rudy Giuliani in his first 100 days?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.870 | $1.03 | Feb 20, 2025 |
 Will USD0++ dip below $0.50 before February?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Jan 11, 2025 |
 Tesla bot at Trump inauguration?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.939 | $1.02 | Jan 11, 2025 |
 Will Alexander Lukashenko win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.982 | $1 | Jan 11, 2025 |
 Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" 5 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?No | buy | 0.46 | $0.870 | $0.4 | Dec 13, 2024 |
 'Mufasa' vs. 'Sonic 3' opening weekend box office?Sonic | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Dec 13, 2024 |
 Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?No | buy | 1.6 | $0.997 | $1.6 | Dec 13, 2024 |
 Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?No | buy | 0.34 | $0.900 | $0.31 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Will West Ham vs. Everton end in a draw?No | buy | 0.44 | $0.730 | $0.32 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Border" in his speech after the election is called?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.809 | $1.05 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Will Travis Hunter win the Heisman Trophy?No | buy | 0.13 | $0.841 | $0.11 | Oct 6, 2024 |
 Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?Yes | sell | 0.4 | $0.983 | $0.39 | Oct 6, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "border" 30 or more times during Pennsylvania rally?No | buy | 0.03 | $0.750 | $0.02 | Oct 5, 2024 |