Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.800 | $4.45 | +$0.45 |
 Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | buy | 2.3 | $0.868 | $2 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 4.35 |
| $0.920 |
| $4.11 |
| +$0.11 |
| Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 4.46 | $0.897 | $3.26 | -$0.74 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | No | 3.33 | $0.900 | $2.59 | -$0.41 |
 Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | 2.2 | $0.910 | $2.06 | +$0.06 |
 ByteDance IPO before 2027? | No | 0.12 | $0.960 | $0.11 | +$0 |
| buy |
| 3.33 |
| $0.900 |
| $3 |
| Jun 19, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.460 | $153.33 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | buy | 2.16 | $0.928 | $2 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?No | buy | 2.2 | $0.910 | $2 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.920 | $4 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.800 | $4 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Meituan have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?No | sell | 5.11 | $0.975 | $4.98 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?No | buy | 4 | $0.999 | $4 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| ByteDance IPO before 2027?No | buy | 5.42 | $0.960 | $5.2 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Player 152 win Beast Games: Season 2?No | buy | 4.63 | $0.993 | $4.6 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Meituan have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?No | buy | 5.12 | $0.997 | $5.1 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.987 | $10.5 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Russia win on 2025-11-12?Yes | buy | 1.21 | $0.910 | $1.1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 10?Yes | buy | 169.23 | $0.650 | $110 | Nov 9, 2025 |
 Will Delta Air Lines (DAL) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.999 | $1.3 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | sell | 1.03K | $0.979 | $1.01K | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.03K | $0.980 | $1.01K | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | sell | 1.01K | $0.997 | $1K | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.01K | $0.998 | $1.01K | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | sell | 1.01K | $0.997 | $1K | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.01K | $0.998 | $1K | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $120K and $122K on August 22?No | buy | 1.21 | $0.989 | $1.2 | Aug 20, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Aug 20, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during September press conference?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.966 | $1.04 | Aug 20, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin May 27-June 2?Yes | buy | 50.6 | $0.994 | $50.3 | Jun 1, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jae-myung win less than 35% of the vote in the South Korea election?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.996 | $1.04 | May 27, 2025 |
 Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross between $140-150m opening weekend?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | May 27, 2025 |
 Will Trump's approval rating be less than 45.0% on May 30?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.997 | $1.13 | May 27, 2025 |
 NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Apr 15, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on June 30?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.958 | $1.1 | Apr 15, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | buy | 1.62 | $0.740 | $1.2 | Apr 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Putin" at CPAC conference on Saturday?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Feb 21, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Trump" 3 or more times at CPAC conference on Saturday?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Feb 21, 2025 |
 Ethereum above $2,700 on February 21?Yes | buy | 1.21 | $0.989 | $1.2 | Feb 21, 2025 |
 Will USD0++ dip below $0.50 before February?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Jan 11, 2025 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.930 | $1.1 | Jan 11, 2025 |
 Will DOGE hit 69¢ by Inauguration Day?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.986 | $1.05 | Jan 11, 2025 |
 Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?No | buy | 0.38 | $0.920 | $0.35 | Dec 13, 2024 |
 Will Zoran Milanović be the next President of Croatia?Yes | buy | 0.45 | $0.890 | $0.4 | Dec 13, 2024 |
 Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.997 | $1.1 | Dec 13, 2024 |
 Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?No | buy | 0.12 | $0.900 | $0.11 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Will Gold close over $3,000 at the end of 2024?No | buy | 0.23 | $0.880 | $0.2 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" in his speech after the election is called?No | buy | 0.13 | $0.910 | $0.12 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Global heat increase less than 1.22°C for 2024?No | buy | 0.04 | $0.985 | $0.04 | Oct 6, 2024 |
 KSI's "Thick Of It" debuts on Billboard hot 100?No | buy | 0.05 | $0.860 | $0.04 | Oct 5, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in October?Yes | buy | 0.23 | $0.260 | $0.06 | Oct 4, 2024 |
 GOP wins popular vote by 7% or more?No | buy | 0.06 | $0.989 | $0.06 | Oct 3, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election?No | buy | 0.19 | $0.620 | $0.12 | Oct 2, 2024 |
+placed+on+a+vibrant+green+arrow+that's+shooting+upwards%2C+symbolizing+the+rapid+growth+and+bullis.webp) Ethereum all time high in Q4 2024?No | buy | 0.06 | $0.860 | $0.05 | Oct 1, 2024 |