Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 41.76 | $0.710 | $39.46 | +$9.81 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?Yes | sell | 7.5 | $0.320 | $2.4 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 35.64 |
| $0.430 |
| $27.09 |
| +$11.76 |
| Will the median home value in NYC be between $636,000 and $663,000 on September 30? | No | 49.98 | $0.598 | $25.61 | -$4.29 |
 Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? | No | 30.68 | $0.713 | $18.71 | -$3.17 |
 Will Jio Platforms IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 15.87 | $0.450 | $14.97 | +$7.82 |
 Will Neutrl launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 15 | $0.500 | $14.53 | +$7.03 |
 Will Arman Tsarukyan fight Charles Oliveira next? | No | 15 | $0.324 | $14.49 | +$9.63 |
 Will Concrete launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 15 | $0.560 | $14.35 | +$5.95 |
 Dreamcash FDV above $20M one day after launch? | No | 15 | $0.320 | $12.53 | +$7.73 |
 Will Hyperliquid dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? | No | 15 | $0.395 | $12.15 | +$6.23 |
 Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | No | 15 | $0.750 | $11.7 | +$0.45 |
 Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? | Yes | 15 | $0.460 | $11.55 | +$4.65 |
 Will MagicBlock launch a token by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 15 | $0.752 | $11.21 | -$0.08 |
 Halle Berry as Storm? | No | 15 | $0.720 | $11.18 | +$0.38 |
 Will Ciryl Gane be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | No | 15.01 | $0.610 | $10.73 | +$1.58 |
 Will EUR/USD hit 1.10 (Low) in 2026? | No | 13.61 | $0.673 | $10.55 | +$1.38 |
 Will Symbiotic launch a token by June 30, 2027? | No | 15 | $0.640 | $10.5 | +$0.9 |
 Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by December 31? | No | 15 | $0.730 | $10.43 | -$0.53 |
 Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026? | Yes | 15 | $0.762 | $10.32 | -$1.11 |
 MagicBlock FDV above $60M one day after launch? | No | 13.26 | $0.540 | $10.28 | +$3.12 |
 Yo FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 15 | $0.560 | $10.28 | +$1.88 |
 Will Taylor Swift be the third most streamed artist for 2026? | Yes | 13 | $0.530 | $10.21 | +$3.32 |
 Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 15.01 | $0.480 | $9.83 | +$2.63 |
 Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 17.89 | $0.660 | $9.66 | -$2.15 |
 Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by December 31, 2026? | No | 15 | $0.550 | $9.45 | +$1.2 |
| sell |
| 8.33 |
| $0.790 |
| $6.58 |
| Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Dusan Vlahovic join Besiktas?No | sell | 7.5 | $0.640 | $4.8 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?Yes | sell | 7.5 | $0.320 | $2.4 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 25–30%?No | sell | 8.33 | $0.790 | $6.58 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Alexandre Pantoja be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?No | sell | 7.5 | $0.530 | $3.98 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Alibaba be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | sell | 7.5 | $0.250 | $1.88 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 9.6 | $0.330 | $3.17 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.5 | $0.210 | $1.58 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will the US federal government take a stake in NVIDIA Corporation?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.120 | $0.24 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Alexander Volkanovski be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026?Yes | sell | 11.76 | $0.189 | $2.22 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Letitia Plummer win the 2026 Harris County Judge election?No | sell | 7.5 | $0.570 | $4.27 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will there be between 115m and 120m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?No | sell | 8.68 | $0.750 | $6.51 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will there be between 115m and 120m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?No | sell | 8.67 | $0.750 | $6.5 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?No | sell | 7.5 | $0.220 | $1.65 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?No | sell | 7.5 | $0.220 | $1.65 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will XRP dip to $1.00 in August?No | sell | 7.5 | $0.380 | $2.85 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?Yes | sell | 7.5 | $0.330 | $2.48 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.5 | $0.800 | $6 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Denis Bećirović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?No | sell | 8.74 | $0.670 | $5.86 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 7.5 | $0.450 | $3.38 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will the Seattle Mariners clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?No | buy | 0.12 | $0.520 | $0.06 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Ruben Gallego vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?No | sell | 7.5 | $0.850 | $6.38 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Ruben Gallego vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?No | sell | 7.5 | $0.850 | $6.38 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Tom Aspinall be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?No | sell | 7.5 | $0.550 | $4.13 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?No | sell | 7.5 | $0.780 | $5.85 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?No | sell | 8.33 | $0.394 | $3.28 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?No | sell | 8.32 | $0.394 | $3.28 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Boris Vallaud win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?Yes | sell | 7.5 | $0.430 | $3.23 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.75 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 8.16 | $0.473 | $3.86 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 0.33 | $0.320 | $0.11 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?Yes | sell | 10.63 | $0.766 | $8.14 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?Yes | sell | 10.61 | $0.766 | $8.13 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 8?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.200 | $1.4 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?No | sell | 8.33 | $0.520 | $4.33 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Ted Cruz be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?Yes | buy | 1.23 | $0.150 | $0.18 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?No | sell | 4.9 | $0.812 | $3.98 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Roberto Mancini be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?Yes | buy | 16.66 | $0.200 | $3.33 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will the median home value in NYC be between $609,000 and $636,000 on September 30?No | sell | 7.36 | $0.610 | $4.49 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Goodyear Tire & Rubber (GT) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | sell | 7.5 | $0.650 | $4.88 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will BULK launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 13.3 | $0.290 | $3.86 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will BULK launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 13.3 | $0.290 | $3.86 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Michael Carbonara be the FL-22 Republican nominee?No | sell | 8 | $0.350 | $2.8 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by August 30?No | sell | 7.5 | $0.400 | $3 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 7.5 | $0.410 | $3.07 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Figma (FIG) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | sell | 6.15 | $0.490 | $3.01 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in July 2026?Yes | sell | 7.5 | $0.390 | $2.93 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Figma (FIG) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | sell | 6.15 | $0.490 | $3.01 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in July 2026?Yes | sell | 7.5 | $0.390 | $2.93 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?No | sell | 6.8 | $0.760 | $5.17 | Jul 26, 2026 |