Analytics
Yes is at 16.9%, down 6.6 points from 23.5% when the market opened on 13 Jan 2026.
Across the 265 daily closes on record from 13 Jan 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (24 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 29 Apr 2026 and the lowest 0.6% on 25 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 9.8%; a month before, 2.5%. Its largest one-day move was 32 points up, to 42% on 20 Oct 2026.
$21.64K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $387.49, with a 28.9% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 248 trades, $2.74K bought Yes and $5.5K bought No; the largest was a $1.17K buy of No at 88.8¢.
The largest Yes position is LornaPredicts with 543 shares; the largest No position is rocky42024 with 289. Ten wallets hold 71% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 11:48 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 265 points, 13 Jan 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Jan 2026 | 23.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 16.9% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 543 |
| rocky42024 | No | 288.56 |
| vitalitytens | No | 227.78 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the number of unique humans verified on World Network, found in the “n_verifications” value at https://metrics.worldcoin.org/, exceeds 30,000,000 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is the official World Network metrics page, available at https://metrics.worldcoin.org/, specifically the “n_verifications” value, which represents the number of unique humans verified on World Network. This market is based solely on the “n_verifications” value posted on the official World Network metrics page (https://metrics.worldcoin.org/), not on data from third-party analytics dashboards or unofficial sources. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable within this market’s timeframe and before resolution criteria are met, the market will resolve based on a reliable alternative source or public data consistent with the official World Network figures.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/over-30m-humans-verified-on-world-network-by-december-31
| xtxpleasecallme |
| Yes |
| 120.99 |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes | 100.01 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| torredonhimeno13 | Yes | 100 |
| pkz | No | 81.29 |
| carlos-m88 | No | 64.07 |
| iknowabotur | No | 61.18 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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