Analytics
Yes is at 44.6%, down 5.3 points from 50% when the market opened on 21 May 2026.
Across the 155 daily closes on record from 21 May 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 90.5% on 7 Jul 2026 and the lowest 40.2% on 20 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 42.8%; a month before, 74.6%. Its largest one-day move was 28 points up, to 68.5% on 30 May 2026.
It is one of 2 markets under “Will MagicBlock launch a token by ___?”.
$22.47K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $428.79, with a 37.3% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 367 trades, $2.02K bought Yes and $1.39K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Piroop with 157 shares; the largest No position is AJSV with 153. Ten wallets hold 89.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jul 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 25, 4:58 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 155 points, 21 May 2026 – 25 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 May 2026 | 50.0% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 45.1% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if MagicBlock officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by MagicBlock will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from MagicBlock (https://x.com/magicblock), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-magicblock-launch-a-token-by
| Anjun |
| No |
| 55 |
| LornaPredicts | No | 47 |
| plsnolose | Yes | 40 |
| Carabao | Yes | 30 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | No | 29.54 |
| nastynian | Yes | 26.43 |
| terrie | Yes | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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