Analytics
Yes is at 14%, down 36 points from 50% when the market opened on 21 May 2026.
Across the 152 daily closes on record from 21 May 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 (7 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 80.5% on 30 Jun 2026 and the lowest 14% on 25 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 32%; a month before, 33.5%. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 48% on 8 Aug 2026.
It is one of 2 markets under “Will MagicBlock launch a token by ___?”.
$30 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $23.56K since listing. The order book holds $818.95, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 376 trades, $3.75K bought Yes and $1.86K bought No; the largest was a $1.11K buy of Yes at 52.0¢.
The largest Yes position is Haradwaith with 394 shares; the largest No position is alanhutton with 700. Ten wallets hold 88.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 68 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 25, 3:46 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 152 points, 21 May 2026 – 25 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 May 2026 | 50.0% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 14.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| alanhutton | No | 700 |
| Poivre | No | 448.88 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 393.54 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if MagicBlock officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by MagicBlock will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from MagicBlock (https://x.com/magicblock), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-magicblock-launch-a-token-by
| Piroop |
| Yes |
| 342.03 |
| Anjun | No | 333 |
| Sa1LaR | Yes | 218.11 |
| AJSV | Yes | 149.15 |
| Odd-Relish | Yes | 138.58 |
| Bright Sphinx 1B73 | Yes | 127.49 |
| Slow-Exhibit | Yes | 85.91 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
