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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 37.04 | $0.540 | $18.98 | -$1.02 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Phan Van Giang be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?Yes | buy | 2.22K | $0.090 | $200 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 12.5 |
| $0.240 |
| $11.19 |
| +$8.19 |
| Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026? | No | 9.09 | $0.550 | $9.04 | +$4.04 |
 Will Pudgy Penguins floor price reach 10 ETH before 2027? | No | 5 | $0.760 | $4.62 | +$0.82 |
 Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 4.65 | $0.430 | $3.98 | +$1.98 |
 Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $4M before 2027? | Yes | 10 | $0.250 | $3.87 | +$1.37 |
 Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 4.29 | $0.700 | $3.13 | +$0.13 |
 Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026? | No | 3.03 | $0.330 | $3 | +$2 |
 Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026? | No | 3.03 | $0.330 | $2.76 | +$1.76 |
| Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $5M before 2027? | Yes | 21.43 | $0.140 | $1.98 | -$1.02 |
| Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? | No | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1.26 | +$0.26 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | Yes | 16 | $0.130 | $0.6 | -$1.48 |
 StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? | Yes | 2.27 | $0.440 | $0.36 | -$0.64 |
| Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $2M before 2027? | Yes | 1.28 | $0.780 | $0.1 | -$0.9 |
| Hyperliquid open interest flipped in 2026? | Yes | 2.86 | $0.350 | $0.03 | -$0.97 |
| buy |
| 2.86 |
| $0.350 |
| $1 |
| Jan 8, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 8:15AM-8:30AM ETUp | buy | 1.17 | $0.850 | $0.99 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.800 | $200 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Ranger FDV above $15M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 GPT ads by March 31?No | buy | 24.1 | $0.830 | $20 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No | sell | 10.63 | $0.999 | $10.62 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in December 2025?Yes | sell | 24.69 | $0.610 | $15.06 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?Yes | buy | 285.71 | $0.070 | $20 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - January 2, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETUp | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 2, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETUp | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 2, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETUp | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 11.66 | $0.997 | $11.63 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 201.13 | $0.860 | $172.97 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Will Apple (AAPL) close at $270–275 in 2025?Yes | buy | 42.92 | $0.890 | $38.2 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in December 2025?Yes | buy | 24.69 | $0.810 | $20 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 108.78 | $0.919 | $100 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No | sell | 7.53 | $0.009 | $0.07 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?No | sell | 21.52 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 9?No | buy | 30.65 | $0.653 | $20 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?No | buy | 29.41 | $0.680 | $20 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?No | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Infinex FDV above $600M one day after launch?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch?No | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Paradex FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?No | buy | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?No | buy | 2.9 | $0.690 | $2 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?No | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No | buy | 38.46 | $0.520 | $20 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.85 | $0.520 | $2 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?No | buy | 40.82 | $0.490 | $20 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $5M before 2027?Yes | buy | 21.43 | $0.140 | $3 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $2M before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on December 28?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on December 29?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on December 31?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on December 30?No | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETUp | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.240 | $3 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Fogo FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 No airdrop in 2025?Yes | buy | 66.1 | $0.151 | $10 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 29?No | buy | 100 | $0.398 | $39.75 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Grok 4.20 released by December 31?No | buy | 121.95 | $0.820 | $100 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Grok 4.20 released by December 31?No | buy | 12.2 | $0.820 | $10 | Dec 28, 2025 |