Analytics
Resolved No on 7 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 45% on 20 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 78 daily closes on record from 20 Dec 2025 to 7 Mar 2026, the highest close was 76% on 11 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 7 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 19 points up, to 63.5% on 21 Dec 2025.
145 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 8, 12:13 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 78 points, 20 Dec 2025 – 7 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Dec 2025 | 45.0% |
| 7 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Sane-Diesel | Yes | 151.45K |
| expnew | Yes | 25.86K |
| Whodis | Yes | 10.95K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Paradex's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Paradex (https://x.com/paradex) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/paradex-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| Yes |
| 5.55K |
| dxy09 | Yes | 5.09K |
| Low-Socks | Yes | 3.99K |
| polo1235 | Yes | 3.52K |
| Kach | Yes | 3.28K |
| yfalse | Yes | 2.21K |
| leemansum | Yes | 2.11K |
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