Analytics
Resolved Yes on 10 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.7%. Yes opened at 62% on 6 Dec 2025. Before it settled, the high was 99.7% on 10 Feb 2026 and the low 13.5% on 2 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 58 points up, to 96% on 17 Jan 2026. $641.08K traded over the market's life.
257 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 11, 4:23 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 68 points, 6 Dec 2025 – 10 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Dec 2025 | 62.0% |
| 10 Feb 2026 | 99.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| B2479 | No | 18.41K |
| Motherly-Disconnection | No | 4.51K |
| juicykrypt | No | 4.48K |
| Cavernous-Dot-Enrollment | No | 3.72K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI integrates advertisements into ChatGPT, GPT-4, GPT-4.1, GPT-5, or any successor general-purpose GPT model made publicly available by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Limited advertisement releases restricted to a specific region, model, or user group will qualify. The release must be publicly announced as accessible to the relevant users. Closed betas or fully private testing do not count. Once implemented, the market will resolve to “Yes” immediately, regardless of whether the integration is later removed. An announcement will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes"; only the release of the advertisement integration will trigger a "Yes" resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/openai-implements-ads-on-llm-by-december-31
| JohnnyNB | No | 3.57K |
| Vitasats8 | No | 3.48K |
| deadmeatdead | No | 2.71K |
| LukeDelta | No | 2.5K |
| Quirky-Obligation | No | 2.13K |
| Myway | No | 1.85K |
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