Analytics
Yes is at 99.8%, up 11 points from 88.5% when the market opened on 31 Oct 2026.
Across the 7 daily closes on record from 31 Oct 2026 to 5 Nov 2026, the highest close was 99.8% on 5 Nov 2026 and the lowest 88.5% on 31 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 5 points up, to 96.5% on 4 Nov 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on November 6?”.
$7.93K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $27.96K since listing. The order book holds $48.86K, with a 0.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 133 trades, $9.79K bought Yes and $866.89 bought No; the largest was a $1.44K buy of Yes at 99.8¢.
The largest Yes position is kingofcoinflips with 5K shares; the largest No position is Quiet Falcon 3CA7 with 5.5K. Ten wallets hold 80.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 6 Nov 2026, 2 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 5, 9:37 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 31 Oct 2026 – 5 Nov 2026, chart shows 85%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Oct 2026 | 88.5% |
| 5 Nov 2026 | 99.8% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Quiet Falcon 3CA7 | No | 5.54K |
| kingofcoinflips | Yes | 5K |
| Marioy | Yes | 5K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-november-6-2026
| gt197 |
| No |
| 3.99K |
| PhongLeXBT | No | 3.25K |
| Impressive-Steak | Yes | 2.87K |
| Facaie | Yes | 1.87K |
| Wild-Firewall-Developer | No | 1.48K |
| coinfilippe | Yes | 1.2K |
| 0xDB5 | Yes | 1.18K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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