Analytics
Yes is at 99.6%, up 2.4 points from 97.2% when the market opened on 31 Oct 2026.
Across the 7 daily closes on record from 31 Oct 2026 to 5 Nov 2026, the highest close was 100% on 5 Nov 2026 and the lowest 97.2% on 31 Oct 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on November 6?”.
$3.49K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $13.8K since listing. The order book holds $51.04K, with a 0.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 73 trades, $10.4K bought Yes and $46.19 bought No; the largest was a $2.77K buy of Yes at 99.6¢.
The largest Yes position is Impressive-Steak with 7.4K shares; the largest No position is donleo with 3K. Ten wallets hold 96.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 6 Nov 2026, 2 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 5, 9:37 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 31 Oct 2026 – 5 Nov 2026, chart shows 90%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Oct 2026 | 97.2% |
| 5 Nov 2026 | 99.6% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak | Yes | 7.43K |
| donleo | No | 3K |
| yiqiz | Yes | 2.78K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-november-6-2026
| Rapid Maven 7394 |
| No |
| 2.72K |
| gt197 | No | 2.04K |
| Singelly | No | 2.01K |
| ComTruise | Yes | 428 |
| Ivory Falcon 836F | No | 415.06 |
| mighelle | No | 371.62 |
| PhongLeXBT | No | 319 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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