Analytics
Yes is at 98.2%, up 31 points from 67.5% when the market opened on 1 Nov 2026.
Across the 6 daily closes on record from 1 Nov 2026 to 5 Nov 2026, the highest close was 98.2% on 5 Nov 2026 and the lowest 61% on 3 Nov 2026. Its largest one-day move was 26 points up, to 97.8% on 5 Nov 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on November 6?”.
$23.89K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $29.96K since listing. The order book holds $46.25K, with a 0.3% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 179 trades, $6.24K bought Yes and $1.85K bought No; the largest was a $2.34K buy of Yes at 98.4¢.
The largest Yes position is Impressive-Steak with 5.9K shares; the largest No position is Quiet Falcon 3CA7 with 8.6K. Ten wallets hold 80.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 6 Nov 2026, 2 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 5, 9:37 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 1 Nov 2026 – 5 Nov 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Nov 2026 | 67.5% |
| 5 Nov 2026 | 98.2% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Quiet Falcon 3CA7 | No | 8.61K |
| Impressive-Steak | Yes | 5.92K |
| Wizaa | No | 2.69K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-november-6-2026
| Rapid Maven 7394 |
| Yes |
| 2.51K |
| LiMoon | Yes | 2.38K |
| PhongLeXBT | No | 2.18K |
| hentaivirus | Yes | 1.46K |
| ComTruise | Yes | 1.36K |
| coinfilippe | Yes | 1.14K |
| 0xDB5 | Yes | 921.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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