Analytics
Yes is at 89.5%, up 35 points from 54.5% when the market opened on 2 Nov 2026.
Across the 5 daily closes on record from 2 Nov 2026 to 5 Nov 2026, the highest close was 89.5% on 5 Nov 2026 and the lowest 36.5% on 3 Nov 2026. Its largest one-day move was 46 points up, to 88.5% on 5 Nov 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on November 6?”.
$42.2K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $45.74K since listing. The order book holds $52.56K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 299 trades, $10.25K bought Yes and $4.95K bought No; the largest was a $2.12K buy of Yes at 90.0¢.
The largest Yes position is coinman2 with 13.1K shares; the largest No position is ssddssd with 15.3K. Ten wallets hold 83.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 6 Nov 2026, 2 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 5, 9:39 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 2 Nov 2026 – 5 Nov 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Nov 2026 | 54.5% |
| 5 Nov 2026 | 89.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ssddssd | No | 15.31K |
| coinman2 | Yes | 13.08K |
| Quiet Falcon 3CA7 | Yes | 6.84K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-november-6-2026
| Victorinus271 |
| No |
| 6.77K |
| Impressive-Steak | Yes | 6.46K |
| PhongLeXBT | No | 4.43K |
| ComTruise | Yes | 2.56K |
| worldmastersviklissan | No | 2.21K |
| thismonth | No | 2.17K |
| neutralwave23 | No | 1.93K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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