Analytics
Yes is at 57%, up 30 points from 26.5% when the market opened on 1 Nov 2026.
Across the 6 daily closes on record from 1 Nov 2026 to 5 Nov 2026, the highest close was 59.5% on 5 Nov 2026 and the lowest 18% on 4 Nov 2026. Its largest one-day move was 42 points up, to 59.5% on 5 Nov 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on November 6?”.
$1.31K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $12.11K since listing. The order book holds $47.11K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 73 trades, $721.3 bought Yes and $6.73K bought No; the largest was a $5.87K buy of No at 82.0¢.
The largest Yes position is kingofcoinflips with 5.7K shares; the largest No position is ssddssd with 8.6K. Ten wallets hold 96.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 6 Nov 2026, 2 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 5, 9:37 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 1 Nov 2026 – 5 Nov 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Nov 2026 | 26.5% |
| 5 Nov 2026 | 57.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ssddssd | No | 8.59K |
| kingofcoinflips | Yes | 5.66K |
| Impressive-Steak | Yes | 1.15K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-november-6-2026
| Growing-Unibody |
| Yes |
| 724.66 |
| coinfilippe | Yes | 430.01 |
| KonradSchneider | No | 300 |
| hfrozendancer | Yes | 260.84 |
| Quiet Falcon 3CA7 | Yes | 250 |
| gt197 | Yes | 196.79 |
| 196874353278 | Yes | 170 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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