Analytics
Yes is at 0.3%, down 1.2 points from 1.5% when the market opened on 2 Nov 2026.
Across the 5 daily closes on record from 2 Nov 2026 to 5 Nov 2026, the highest close was 1.5% on 2 Nov 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 5 Nov 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on November 6?”.
$11.1K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $12.92K since listing. The order book holds $46.6K, with a 0.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 61 trades, $62.1 bought Yes and $5.78K bought No; the largest was a $1.3K buy of No at 99.7¢.
The largest Yes position is bc1qpfuf2ynwcynnf9aczxvqgumxsznsunrk0r9tn3 with 2.3K shares; the largest No position is Facaie with 4.6K. Ten wallets hold 81.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 6 Nov 2026, 2 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 5, 10:55 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 2 Nov 2026 – 5 Nov 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Nov 2026 | 1.5% |
| 5 Nov 2026 | 0.3% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Facaie | No | 4.6K |
| bc1qpfuf2ynwcynnf9aczxvqgumxsznsunrk0r9tn3 | Yes | 2.27K |
| Impressive-Steak | No | 2.26K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-november-6-2026
| sqsb | Yes | 1.72K |
| Last-Envy | Yes | 1.04K |
| myphbr | Yes | 1K |
| HOHOHAHA123 | Yes | 830.54 |
| Delicious-Paperwork-Router | Yes | 728 |
| ComTruise | No | 642 |
| coinfilippe | Yes | 631.97 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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