Analytics
Yes is at 17.6%, up 4.1 points from 13.5% when the market opened on 31 Oct 2026.
Across the 7 daily closes on record from 31 Oct 2026 to 5 Nov 2026, the highest close was 22.4% on 5 Nov 2026 and the lowest 7.2% on 4 Nov 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points up, to 22.4% on 5 Nov 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on November 6?”.
$21.98K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $25.2K since listing. The order book holds $46.98K, with a 0.9% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 165 trades, $2.57K bought Yes and $2K bought No.
The largest Yes position is negar with 3.5K shares; the largest No position is ssddssd with 4.7K. Ten wallets hold 90% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 6 Nov 2026, 2 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 5, 9:39 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 31 Oct 2026 – 5 Nov 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Oct 2026 | 13.5% |
| 5 Nov 2026 | 17.6% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ssddssd | No | 4.67K |
| negar | Yes | 3.49K |
| Impressive-Steak | No | 1.37K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-november-6-2026
| ComTruise |
| No |
| 1.03K |
| Quiet Falcon 3CA7 | Yes | 945.14 |
| SingW | Yes | 901 |
| hfrozendancer | Yes | 761.02 |
| neutralwave23 | Yes | 575.19 |
| Vasyatrade23 | Yes | 497.4 |
| Mewpa | No | 426.94 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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