Analytics
Yes is at 4%, down 3.4 points from 7.5% when the market opened on 31 Oct 2026.
Across the 7 daily closes on record from 31 Oct 2026 to 5 Nov 2026, the highest close was 7.5% on 31 Oct 2026 and the lowest 2.4% on 3 Nov 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on November 6?”.
$29.7K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $34.13K since listing. The order book holds $47.78K, with a 0.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 105 trades, $2.11K bought Yes and $4.21K bought No; the largest was a $1.55K buy of No at 93.6¢.
The largest Yes position is SingW with 20.7K shares; the largest No position is easyclap with 10.1K. Ten wallets hold 92.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 6 Nov 2026, 2 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 5, 9:37 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 31 Oct 2026 – 5 Nov 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Oct 2026 | 7.5% |
| 5 Nov 2026 | 4.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SingW | Yes | 20.68K |
| easyclap | No | 10.08K |
| Impressive-Steak | No | 9.63K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-november-6-2026
| Pellepele |
| No |
| 2.8K |
| ComTruise | No | 2.62K |
| Vasyatrade23 | Yes | 1.73K |
| Quiet Falcon 3CA7 | Yes | 1.41K |
| Wont-u-sing-w-me | No | 621.21 |
| ManakeMega | Yes | 603.2 |
| Bold Horizon 0F7D | Yes | 420.71 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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