Analytics
Yes is at 100%, up 4.5 points from 95.5% when the market opened on 31 Oct 2026.
Across the 7 daily closes on record from 31 Oct 2026 to 5 Nov 2026, the highest close was 100% on 5 Nov 2026 and the lowest 95.5% on 31 Oct 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on November 6?”.
$2.03K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $9.82K since listing. The order book holds $40.57K, with a 0.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 61 trades, $8.33K bought Yes and $30.7 bought No; the largest was a $1.7K buy of Yes at 95.0¢.
The largest Yes position is Impressive-Steak with 5.3K shares; the largest No position is gt197 with 3.9K. Ten wallets hold 96.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 6 Nov 2026, 2 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 5, 9:37 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 31 Oct 2026 – 5 Nov 2026, chart shows 90%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Oct 2026 | 95.5% |
| 5 Nov 2026 | 100.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak | Yes | 5.31K |
| gt197 | No | 3.94K |
| Rapid Maven 7394 | No | 1.98K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-november-6-2026
| yiqiz |
| Yes |
| 1.01K |
| PhongLeXBT | No | 599 |
| Facaie | Yes | 465.21 |
| Meager-Behalf-Cashew | No | 300 |
| PmDerek | Yes | 293.73 |
| ArtIronman | No | 263.78 |
| neutralwave23 | No | 149 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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