Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 123 | $0.824 | $103.94 | +$2.54 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 9?Yes | sell | 39.47 | $0.150 | $5.92 | 2d ago |
|
| No |
| 108 |
| $0.934 |
| $103.19 |
| +$2.27 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 80 | $0.630 | $58 | +$7.6 |
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | No | 63 | $0.800 | $53.24 | +$2.84 |
 Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30? | No | 56.99 | $0.870 | $52.72 | +$3.13 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 64 | $0.790 | $52.16 | +$1.6 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | No | 55 | $0.910 | $51.98 | +$1.93 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | No | 52 | $0.964 | $51.51 | +$1.38 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 55 | $0.910 | $51.43 | +$1.38 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 55 | $0.910 | $51.43 | +$1.38 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 52 | $0.973 | $51.22 | +$0.62 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 58 | $0.870 | $50.75 | +$0.29 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 54 | $0.940 | $50.49 | -$0.27 |
 GTA 6 launch postponed again? | No | 54 | $0.940 | $50.49 | -$0.27 |
 Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? | No | 52.42 | $0.954 | $50.16 | +$0.16 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 63 | $0.800 | $48.51 | -$1.89 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 173 | $0.280 | $38.93 | -$9.52 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 41 | $0.610 | $14.56 | -$10.45 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 41 | $0.620 | $14.15 | -$11.28 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 131.25 | $0.080 | $7.22 | -$3.28 |
| sell |
| 88.88 |
| $0.002 |
| $0.18 |
| 3d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 7?No | sell | 42.1 | $0.006 | $0.25 | 3d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 9?No | sell | 100 | $0.012 | $1.2 | 3d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 9?No | sell | 384.61 | $0.001 | $0.38 | 3d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 9?No | sell | 288.46 | $0.004 | $1.19 | 3d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 9?Yes | sell | 185.18 | $0.027 | $5 | 3d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 9?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.110 | $8.25 | 3d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 58 | $0.870 | $50.46 | 6d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 41 | $0.620 | $25.42 | 7d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 41 | $0.610 | $25.01 | 7d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 130 | $0.380 | $49.4 | 7d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.380 | $11.4 | 7d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 130 | $0.390 | $50.7 | 7d ago |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 63 | $0.800 | $50.4 | 7d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 9?No | buy | 100 | $0.102 | $10.2 | 7d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 9?No | buy | 288.46 | $0.052 | $15 | 7d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 9?No | buy | 384.62 | $0.039 | $15 | 7d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 9?Yes | buy | 185.19 | $0.081 | $15 | 7d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 9?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.200 | $15 | 7d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 9?Yes | buy | 39.47 | $0.380 | $15 | 7d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No | buy | 55 | $0.910 | $50.05 | 8d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 52 | $0.973 | $50.6 | 9d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.580 | $17.4 | 9d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 5?No | buy | 484.85 | $0.033 | $16 | 9d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 5?No | buy | 442.57 | $0.036 | $16 | 9d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 5?No | buy | 112.68 | $0.142 | $16 | 9d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 7?No | buy | 42.11 | $0.380 | $16 | 9d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 7?No | buy | 88.89 | $0.180 | $16 | 9d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 7?No | buy | 385.71 | $0.041 | $16 | 9d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 7?No | buy | 191.86 | $0.083 | $16 | 9d ago |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again?No | buy | 54 | $0.940 | $50.76 | 9d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 60 | $0.850 | $51 | 9d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on August 26?Yes | buy | 208.33 | $0.048 | $10 | 22d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 26?Yes | buy | 133.33 | $0.075 | $10 | 22d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 26?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.140 | $10 | 22d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 26?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.290 | $10 | 22d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 22?Yes | buy | 138.89 | $0.072 | $10 | 22d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 22?Yes | buy | 54.46 | $0.184 | $10 | 22d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 20?Yes | buy | 370.37 | $0.027 | $10 | 22d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 20?Yes | buy | 114.94 | $0.087 | $10 | 22d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 21?Yes | buy | 285.71 | $0.035 | $10 | 22d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 21?Yes | buy | 69.44 | $0.144 | $10 | 22d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 20?No | sell | 354.72 | $0.004 | $1.42 | 22d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 21?No | sell | 383.21 | $0.003 | $1.13 | 22d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 24?No | sell | 245 | $0.004 | $1.01 | 22d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 25?No | sell | 290 | $0.004 | $1.16 | 22d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 25?No | buy | 290 | $0.022 | $6.37 | 22d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 25?Yes | buy | 205 | $0.013 | $2.67 | 22d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 25?Yes | buy | 265 | $0.024 | $6.36 | 22d ago |