Analytics
Yes is at 100%, up 11 points from 88.6% when the market opened on 30 Oct 2026.
Across the 6 daily closes on record from 30 Oct 2026 to 5 Nov 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 100% on 5 Nov 2026 and the lowest 88.6% on 30 Oct 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on November 5?”.
$64.07K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $85.74K since listing. The order book holds $63.91K, with a 0.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 178 trades, $41.55K bought Yes and $397.69 bought No; the largest was a $23.47K buy of Yes at 99.8¢.
The largest Yes position is shabbysalta with 30.5K shares; the largest No position is theRushingBull with 31.5K. Ten wallets hold 69.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 5 Nov 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 5, 9:37 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 30 Oct 2026 – 5 Nov 2026, chart shows 85%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Oct 2026 | 88.6% |
| 5 Nov 2026 | 100.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| theRushingBull | No | 31.46K |
| shabbysalta | Yes | 30.51K |
| cryptowhale2020 | No | 15.3K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-november-5-2026
| Marioy |
| Yes |
| 5K |
| 196874353278 | No | 4.43K |
| kingofcoinflips | No | 4.01K |
| DOWNbet | Yes | 4K |
| gt197 | No | 3.75K |
| Impressive-Steak | Yes | 3.11K |
| Facaie | Yes | 2.97K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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