Analytics
Yes is at 65.1%, up 32 points from 33.5% when the market opened on 30 Oct 2026.
Across the 8 daily closes on record from 30 Oct 2026 to 5 Nov 2026, the highest close was 66.3% on 5 Nov 2026 and the lowest 13.5% on 4 Nov 2026. Its largest one-day move was 53 points up, to 66.3% on 5 Nov 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on November 5?”.
$35.54K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $72.77K since listing. The order book holds $52.16K, with a 2.4% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $8.47K bought Yes and $9.69K bought No; the largest was a $3.98K buy of No at 81.1¢.
The largest Yes position is Impressive-Steak with 7.8K shares; the largest No position is ssddssd with 7.7K. Ten wallets hold 75.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 5 Nov 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 5, 9:37 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 30 Oct 2026 – 5 Nov 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Oct 2026 | 33.5% |
| 5 Nov 2026 | 65.3% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak | Yes | 7.84K |
| ssddssd | No | 7.69K |
| kingofcoinflips | Yes | 6.72K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-november-5-2026
| winwin10086 |
| No |
| 5.47K |
| SingW | Yes | 3.43K |
| grasstoucher69 | No | 3.42K |
| Victorinus271 | No | 2.42K |
| JaIsOne1 | Yes | 2.07K |
| vedaresearch.btc | No | 1.68K |
| d33z0 | Yes | 1.58K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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