Analytics
Yes is at 100%, up 21 points from 79.4% when the market opened on 30 Oct 2026.
Across the 7 daily closes on record from 30 Oct 2026 to 5 Nov 2026, the highest close was 100% on 5 Nov 2026 and the lowest 79.4% on 30 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8.7 points up, to 92.3% on 4 Nov 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on November 5?”.
$46.97K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $68.9K since listing. The order book holds $49.22K, with a 0.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 323 trades, $27.79K bought Yes and $1.54K bought No; the largest was a $5K buy of Yes at 99.9¢.
The largest Yes position is UPbet with 6.4K shares; the largest No position is theRushingBull with 5.3K. Ten wallets hold 62.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 5 Nov 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 5, 9:37 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 30 Oct 2026 – 5 Nov 2026, chart shows 75%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Oct 2026 | 79.4% |
| 5 Nov 2026 | 100.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| UPbet | Yes | 6.4K |
| KFai | Yes | 5.45K |
| theRushingBull | No | 5.31K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-november-5-2026
| Impressive-Steak |
| Yes |
| 5.18K |
| Facaie | Yes | 4.9K |
| Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | No | 4.66K |
| 4618 | No | 4.02K |
| gt197 | No | 3.14K |
| Difjhfjfj | No | 3.09K |
| Marioy | Yes | 3K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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