Analytics
Yes is at 97.2%, up 69 points from 28.5% when the market opened on 30 Oct 2026.
Across the 6 daily closes on record from 30 Oct 2026 to 5 Nov 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 97.2% on 5 Nov 2026 and the lowest 28.5% on 30 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 53 points up, to 95% on 5 Nov 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on November 5?”.
$65.57K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $76.51K since listing. The order book holds $54.27K, with a 0.2% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 474 trades, $28.88K bought Yes and $4.24K bought No; the largest was a $4.55K buy of Yes at 94.3¢.
The largest Yes position is Impressive-Steak with 19.3K shares; the largest No position is Corny-Mincemeat with 9K. Ten wallets hold 60.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 5 Nov 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 5, 9:37 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 30 Oct 2026 – 5 Nov 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Oct 2026 | 28.5% |
| 5 Nov 2026 | 97.2% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak | Yes | 19.33K |
| Corny-Mincemeat | No | 9.02K |
| alibaba777 | No | 8.55K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-november-5-2026
| ssddssd | No | 6.09K |
| coinman2 | Yes | 4.76K |
| Victorinus271 | No | 4.38K |
| zakknos | No | 4.03K |
| Nothfail | Yes | 3.59K |
| lll1lll | No | 3.02K |
| Pellepele | Yes | 2.65K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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