Analytics
Yes is at 5.9%, down 14 points from 20% when the market opened on 30 Oct 2026.
Across the 8 daily closes on record from 30 Oct 2026 to 5 Nov 2026, the highest close was 20% on 30 Oct 2026 and the lowest 3.1% on 4 Nov 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9.4 points up, to 12.6% on 5 Nov 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on November 5?”.
$77.95K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $86.97K since listing. The order book holds $50.38K, with a 0.8% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $4.91K bought Yes and $7.14K bought No.
The largest Yes position is SingW with 8K shares; the largest No position is Impressive-Steak with 13.6K. Ten wallets hold 61.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 5 Nov 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 5, 9:39 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 30 Oct 2026 – 5 Nov 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Oct 2026 | 20.0% |
| 5 Nov 2026 | 5.9% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak | No | 13.64K |
| SingW | Yes | 7.97K |
| negar | Yes | 7K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-november-5-2026
| gobblewobble |
| No |
| 4.8K |
| grasstoucher69 | Yes | 4.22K |
| ssddssd | No | 2.46K |
| ComTruise | No | 2.29K |
| user9876543 | Yes | 2.09K |
| dajsijnnd | No | 2K |
| Dearest-Realm | Yes | 2K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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