Analytics
Yes is at 0.1%, about where the market opened on 30 Oct 2026.
Across the 7 daily closes on record from 30 Oct 2026 to 5 Nov 2026, the highest close was 0.9% on 3 Nov 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 4 Nov 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on November 5?”.
$81.39K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $82.12K since listing. The order book holds $100.3K, with a 0.05% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 29 trades, $63.99 bought Yes and $214.99 bought No; the largest was a $18.67K sell of No at 99.9¢.
The largest Yes position is sqsb with 54.7K shares; the largest No position is ZeinST with 40K. Ten wallets hold 97.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 5 Nov 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 5, 9:39 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 30 Oct 2026 – 5 Nov 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Oct 2026 | 0.7% |
| 5 Nov 2026 | 0.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| sqsb | Yes | 54.74K |
| ZeinST | No | 40K |
| shabbysalta | No | 16.24K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-november-5-2026
| venezuelain |
| No |
| 3K |
| r3dc0d3r | Yes | 2.11K |
| Violet Vector 2556 | Yes | 2K |
| zhenni | No | 2K |
| jakma | No | 1.45K |
| Bright Beacon B02B | Yes | 1.09K |
| Swift Pulse 7D10 | Yes | 1.09K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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