Analytics
Yes is at 0.9%, down 11 points from 12% when the market opened on 30 Oct 2026.
Across the 8 daily closes on record from 30 Oct 2026 to 5 Nov 2026, the highest close was 12% on 30 Oct 2026 and the lowest 0.9% on 5 Nov 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6.1 points down, to 5.9% on 31 Oct 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on November 5?”.
$73.09K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $78.94K since listing. The order book holds $57.87K, with a 0.10% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 317 trades, $1.5K bought Yes and $23.41K bought No; the largest was a $1.71K buy of No at 96.6¢.
The largest Yes position is SingW with 24.8K shares; the largest No position is Impressive-Steak with 20.9K. Ten wallets hold 71.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 5 Nov 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 5, 9:37 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 30 Oct 2026 – 5 Nov 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Oct 2026 | 12.0% |
| 5 Nov 2026 | 0.9% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SingW | Yes | 24.77K |
| Impressive-Steak | No | 20.86K |
| soylentgoy | No | 7.15K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-november-5-2026
| easyclap |
| No |
| 5.14K |
| Vasyatrade23 | Yes | 4.95K |
| Facaie | No | 3.97K |
| Pellepele | No | 3.42K |
| zakknos | Yes | 2.87K |
| sqsb | Yes | 2.5K |
| NASX33 | Yes | 1.99K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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