Analytics
Yes is at 99.8%, up 34 points from 66% when the market opened on 30 Oct 2026.
Across the 7 daily closes on record from 30 Oct 2026 to 5 Nov 2026, the highest close was 99.8% on 5 Nov 2026 and the lowest 61.5% on 3 Nov 2026. Its largest one-day move was 24 points up, to 99.1% on 5 Nov 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on November 5?”.
$43.56K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $52.78K since listing. The order book holds $61.17K, with a 0.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 361 trades, $21.61K bought Yes and $1.6K bought No; the largest was a $4.99K buy of Yes at 99.8¢.
The largest Yes position is Facaie with 7.3K shares; the largest No position is Favorable-Pepper-Brushing with 5.2K. Ten wallets hold 53.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 5 Nov 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 5, 9:37 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 30 Oct 2026 – 5 Nov 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Oct 2026 | 66.0% |
| 5 Nov 2026 | 99.8% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Facaie | Yes | 7.32K |
| Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | No | 5.18K |
| Swift Pulse B3AE | No | 3.9K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-november-5-2026
| Impressive-Steak | Yes | 3.8K |
| averagerandomman | No | 2.17K |
| nonkenny90 | Yes | 2.1K |
| woshisb | No | 1.6K |
| balthazar | No | 1.59K |
| Clear-Tower | No | 1.58K |
| zx323 | Yes | 1.5K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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