Analytics
Yes is at 0.1%, down 7.4 points from 7.5% when the market opened on 30 Oct 2026.
Across the 6 daily closes on record from 30 Oct 2026 to 5 Nov 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 7.5% on 30 Oct 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 5 Nov 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Bitcoin above ___ on November 5?”.
$32.19K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $37.02K since listing. The order book holds $62.26K, with a 0.05% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 225 trades, $170.71 bought Yes and $17.91K bought No; the largest was a $5.62K buy of No at 99.9¢.
The largest Yes position is Clear-Tower with 5.8K shares; the largest No position is PmDerek with 6.6K. Ten wallets hold 70.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 5 Nov 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 5, 9:37 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 30 Oct 2026 – 5 Nov 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Oct 2026 | 7.5% |
| 5 Nov 2026 | 0.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| PmDerek | No | 6.62K |
| Clear-Tower | Yes | 5.84K |
| Impressive-Steak | No | 5.43K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-november-5-2026
| Facaie |
| No |
| 5.17K |
| Meter | Yes | 4.28K |
| suntori | Yes | 3.29K |
| bc1qpfuf2ynwcynnf9aczxvqgumxsznsunrk0r9tn3 | Yes | 3K |
| jakebet | No | 2.53K |
| Tame-Loading | Yes | 2.4K |
| Occasional-Tilt | Yes | 2.24K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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