Analytics
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 9 | $0.200 | $0.29 | -$1.51 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.070 | $7 | Jan 29, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 9 |
| $0.200 |
| $1.8 |
| Jan 19, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.180 | $90 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.012 | $12 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.009 | $9 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.340 | $51 | Sep 8, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Yes | buy | 350 | $0.140 | $49 | Aug 26, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $150K in July?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.017 | $10.2 | Jul 15, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140K in July?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.044 | $4.4 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?Yes | buy | 78 | $0.420 | $32.76 | May 12, 2025 |
 Will India invade Pakistan before July?Yes | buy | 154.76 | $0.210 | $32.5 | May 6, 2025 |
 Will Barcelona win on 2025-05-06?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.400 | $20 | May 6, 2025 |
 Will Péter Erdő be the next pope?Yes | buy | 59.52 | $0.084 | $5 | May 6, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.25 | $0.700 | $3.68 | Sep 13, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 100 | $0.472 | $47.2 | Sep 5, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 100 | $0.473 | $47.3 | Sep 5, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.640 | $25.6 | Sep 4, 2024 |
 Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?Yes | sell | 16 | $0.330 | $5.28 | Aug 11, 2024 |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 2 times in 2024?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.140 | $7 | Aug 11, 2024 |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?Yes | sell | 17 | $0.270 | $4.59 | Aug 9, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.500 | $20 | Aug 8, 2024 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?Yes | buy | 112.64 | $0.053 | $5.97 | Aug 8, 2024 |
 Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.200 | $6 | Jul 25, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "crypto/Bitcoin" during RNC speech?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.190 | $3.8 | Jul 17, 2024 |
 Biden drops out of presidential race?No | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Jul 3, 2024 |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 2 times in 2024?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.340 | $5 | Jun 28, 2024 |
| Biden drops out of presidential race?Yes | buy | 65.22 | $0.230 | $15 | Jun 25, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 66.31 | $0.420 | $27.85 | Jun 25, 2024 |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Jun 20, 2024 |
 Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2024?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jun 20, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 22.73 | $0.440 | $10 | Jun 20, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 22.73 | $0.440 | $10 | Jun 20, 2024 |
 Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.020 | $5 | Jun 20, 2024 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before September?Yes | buy | 24.39 | $0.410 | $10 | Jun 20, 2024 |
 Netanyahu out by October 31?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | Jun 20, 2024 |
 Will Israel invade Lebanon before September?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.320 | $10 | Jun 20, 2024 |