Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 6% on 12 Jul 2025. Before it settled, the high was 8.5% on 15 Jul 2025 and the low 0.1% on 1 Aug 2025. $2.05M traded over the market's life.
138 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 2, 8:52 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 21 points · 12 Jul 2025 – 1 Aug 2025 · axis zoomed to 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Jul 2025 | 6.0% |
| 1 Aug 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| leenut | Yes | 49.42K |
| realbadmoon | Yes | 45K |
| Compassionate-Smog | Yes | 35.15K |
| tfrance | Yes | 12.66K |
| victory11 | Yes | 10K |
| mooger | Yes | 9.94K |
| nukem23f | Yes | 9.51K |
| aether.hl | Yes | 9.34K |
| Fueledbyfungi | Yes | 7.38K |
| winterarc | Yes | 7K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between July 1, 2025, 00:00 and July 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price of $140,000 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-july
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
