Analytics
Resolved No on 8 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 24% on 22 Mar 2024. Before it settled, across the 232 daily closes on record from 22 Mar 2024 to 8 Nov 2024, the highest close was 55.5% on 24 Jul 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 8 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 35% on 25 Jul 2024. $3.98M traded over the market's life.
308 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 9, 1:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 232 points, 22 Mar 2024 – 8 Nov 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Mar 2024 | 24.0% |
| 8 Nov 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.27M |
| Amber Ledger B961 | Yes | 7.17K |
| baseline | Yes | 7K |
This is a market on the expected number of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts occurring within the current calendar year.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-fed-rate-cuts-this-year
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| muli | Yes | 6K |
| Siziriv | Yes | 5.65K |
| iioooiii | Yes | 5.51K |
| gabezul | Yes | 5.3K |
| moneygpt | Yes | 5.3K |
| qrpenc | Yes | 2.62K |
| HansIwin | Yes | 2.22K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
