Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 25.24 | $0.792 | $21.58 | +$1.58 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 18.51 | $0.490 | $9.07 | 4d ago |
 |
| No |
| 21.28 |
| $0.470 |
| $18.4 |
| +$8.4 |
 Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%? | Yes | 14.62 | $0.684 | $11.89 | +$1.89 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 22.78 | $0.439 | $11.45 | +$1.45 |
 Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | Yes | 12.2 | $0.820 | $11.22 | +$1.22 |
 US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026? | No | 12.5 | $0.800 | $11.19 | +$1.19 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 45.87 | $0.218 | $11.03 | +$1.03 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 13.7 | $0.730 | $10.75 | +$0.75 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 11.29 | $0.886 | $10.5 | +$0.5 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 13.33 | $0.750 | $10.33 | +$0.33 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | No | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10.29 | +$0.29 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | Yes | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10.29 | +$0.29 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10.27 | +$0.27 |
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | No | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10.16 | +$0.16 |
 Will Fiona Ma win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10.16 | +$0.16 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 10.71 | $0.934 | $10.14 | +$0.14 |
 Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | No | 10.4 | $0.962 | $10.09 | +$0.09 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027? | No | 10.71 | $0.934 | $9.84 | -$0.16 |
 Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 1.3%? | No | 11.49 | $0.870 | $9.37 | -$0.63 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 8.96 | $0.670 | $5.78 | -$0.22 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 4.49 | $0.890 | $3.93 | -$0.07 |
| buy |
| 3.51 |
| $0.570 |
| $2 |
| 8d ago |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 14.49 | $0.130 | $1.88 | 8d ago |
 Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes | sell | 42.85 | $0.018 | $0.77 | 13d ago |
 Will Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.160 | $2.28 | 13d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 4.49 | $0.890 | $4 | 16d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 11.9 | $0.840 | $10 | 16d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 13.33 | $0.750 | $10 | 16d ago |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 22.78 | $0.439 | $10 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 45.87 | $0.218 | $10 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.49 | $0.690 | $10 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No | buy | 10.4 | $0.962 | $10 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.800 | $10 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026?No | buy | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 13.33 | $0.750 | $10 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 11.29 | $0.886 | $10 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Yes | buy | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 1.3%?No | buy | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%?Yes | buy | 14.62 | $0.684 | $10 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?Yes | buy | 11.9 | $0.840 | $10 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.700 | $10 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Fiona Ma win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 10.71 | $0.934 | $10 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?No | buy | 10.71 | $0.934 | $10 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.720 | $10 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 39.22 | $0.255 | $10 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 22.99 | $0.217 | $5 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 13.33 | $0.440 | $5.87 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.540 | $10 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.750 | $10 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.600 | $4 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.620 | $6.2 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 8.96 | $0.670 | $6 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes | buy | 42.86 | $0.700 | $30 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.740 | $10 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.29 | $0.752 | $10 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.140 | $10 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Yes | buy | 12.2 | $0.820 | $10 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-05-30?Yes | sell | 1.47 | $0.140 | $0.21 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes | sell | 208.33 | $0.017 | $3.54 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-05-30?Yes | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 12.35 | $0.810 | $10 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes | buy | 208.33 | $0.024 | $5 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.740 | $10 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | buy | 13.7 | $0.730 | $10 | May 31, 2026 |