Analytics
Yes is at 96%, up 29 points from 66.5% when the market opened on 16 May 2026.
Across the 162 daily closes on record from 16 May 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (7 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 96.5% on 20 Oct 2026 and the lowest 58.5% on 21 May 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 96.2%; a month before, 94.5%. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 86% on 5 Jun 2026.
Fiona Ma is the favourite of the 11 outcomes in “California Lieutenant Governor Election Winner”, ahead of Janelle Kellman at 2.3%.
$12.84K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $16.78K, with a 2.4% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 265 trades, $4.4K bought Yes and $628.17 bought No; the largest was a $1K buy of Yes at 90.0¢.
The largest Yes position is Hyperlong with 2K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 1.2K. Ten wallets hold 82.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 4 Nov 2026, 5 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 1:25 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 162 points, 16 May 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 May 2026 | 66.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 96.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Hyperlong | Yes | 2.02K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.17K |
| i2dt | Yes | 510.45 |
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California lieutenant gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/california-lieutenant-governor-election-winner
| Secondary-Shock |
| No |
| 260 |
| JohnP92 | No | 200 |
| peepeepooppoop | No | 200 |
| Dr.PNL | No | 199.93 |
| Perypery | No | 180.02 |
| algo168 | Yes | 180 |
| cigarettes | Yes | 156.67 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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