Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 1.03K | $0.623 | $958.37 | +$317.32 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Katsunori Sone win the 2026 Kagawa gubernatorial election?No | buy | 21 | $0.979 | $20.56 | 27d ago |
 |
| No |
| 540.52 |
| $0.776 |
| $539.98 |
| +$120.62 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 435 | $0.635 | $363.01 | +$86.6 |
 Will Fiona Ma win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 182 | $0.650 | $171.99 | +$53.69 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 2.27K | $0.328 | $155.56 | -$588.64 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 879.16 | $0.326 | $145.5 | -$141.38 |
 Will Mateus Simões win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | No | 102 | $0.974 | $101.34 | +$1.99 |
 Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 102 | $0.972 | $101.24 | +$2.09 |
 Will Movimento Democrático Brasileiro (MDB) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election? | No | 102 | $0.980 | $99.5 | -$0.46 |
 Will Sofia Jarl be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Dalarna? | No | 104 | $0.960 | $99.37 | -$0.47 |
 Will Republicans win 4 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala? | No | 100 | $0.968 | $94.95 | -$1.85 |
 Will Gabriel Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | No | 91 | $0.971 | $89.54 | +$1.18 |
 Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? | No | 53 | $0.951 | $52.55 | +$2.15 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | No | 30 | $0.979 | $29.63 | +$0.26 |
| Will Fiona Ma win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026? | No | 442 | $0.320 | $24.31 | -$117.21 |
 Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 20 | $0.978 | $19.99 | +$0.43 |
 Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 20 | $0.989 | $19.97 | +$0.19 |
 Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 20 | $0.988 | $19.95 | +$0.19 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 20.1 | $0.976 | $19.78 | +$0.16 |
| Will Republicans win 5 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala? | No | 20 | $0.964 | $19.39 | +$0.11 |
 Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | No | 14 | $0.975 | $13.94 | +$0.29 |
 Will Neil Saravanamuttoo win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? | No | 11 | $0.979 | $10.84 | +$0.07 |
 Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? | No | 10 | $0.984 | $9.88 | +$0.04 |
 Will Matt Claman win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | No | 9 | $0.989 | $8.98 | +$0.08 |
 Will Matt Heilala win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | No | 9 | $0.989 | $8.97 | +$0.07 |
| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.967 |
| $4.84 |
| 28d ago |
| Will Republicans win 5 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?No | buy | 20 | $0.964 | $19.28 | 28d ago |
 Will Francois Hollande win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?No | buy | 6.94 | $0.970 | $6.73 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August?No | buy | 7 | $0.968 | $6.78 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will Republicans win 0 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?No | buy | 5 | $0.977 | $4.89 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 103 | $0.965 | $99.4 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will Sofia Jarl be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Dalarna?No | buy | 104 | $0.960 | $99.84 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 20.1 | $0.976 | $19.62 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?No | buy | 90 | $0.978 | $88.02 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Mateus Simões win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?No | buy | 102 | $0.974 | $99.35 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Movimento Democrático Brasileiro (MDB) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?No | buy | 102 | $0.980 | $99.96 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?No | buy | 30 | $0.979 | $29.37 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 102 | $0.972 | $99.14 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 45 | $0.972 | $43.74 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.68 | $0.971 | $7.46 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Republicans win 4 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?No | buy | 100 | $0.968 | $96.8 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by August 31?No | buy | 40 | $0.980 | $39.2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?No | buy | 40 | $0.963 | $38.52 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.983 | $39.32 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.974 | $4.87 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Gabriel Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?No | buy | 91 | $0.971 | $88.36 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will at least 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.976 | $29.28 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Neil Saravanamuttoo win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?No | buy | 11 | $0.979 | $10.77 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.978 | $39.12 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31?No | buy | 15 | $0.974 | $14.61 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 103 | $0.962 | $99.09 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 103 | $0.962 | $99.09 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will there be between 60 and 80 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?No | buy | 104 | $0.960 | $99.84 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?No | buy | 53 | $0.951 | $50.4 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $90 in August?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.980 | $12.74 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $560 in August?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.963 | $19.26 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $355 Week of August 3 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.960 | $7.68 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $200 Week of August 3 2026?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.950 | $19.95 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Matt Claman win the 2026 Alaska governor election?No | buy | 9 | $0.989 | $8.9 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Matt Heilala win the 2026 Alaska governor election?No | buy | 9 | $0.989 | $8.9 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Vicki Schmidt win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?No | buy | 13 | $0.990 | $12.87 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Betsy McCaughey win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Republican primary election?No | buy | 20 | $0.989 | $19.78 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Joel Brennan win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?No | buy | 7 | $0.989 | $6.92 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Kelda Roys win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?No | buy | 15 | $0.990 | $14.85 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 20 | $0.989 | $19.78 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 20 | $0.988 | $19.76 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will Josh Elliott win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election?No | buy | 14 | $0.979 | $13.71 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 20 | $0.978 | $19.56 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on May 25?No | buy | 8 | $0.780 | $6.24 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on May 25?No | buy | 25 | $0.800 | $20 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | buy | 20 | $0.964 | $19.28 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on May 25?No | buy | 25 | $0.790 | $19.75 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on May 25?No | buy | 5 | $0.690 | $3.45 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will Aric Nesbitt win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?No | buy | 5 | $0.987 | $4.94 | May 24, 2026 |