Latest trade
May 8, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 6:58 AM UTC.
Analytics
wvdp is down $74.36 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2025-03-03 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
May 8, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 6:58 AM UTC.
$5 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 47 markets; 94.0% were buys. They run from Nov 5, 2024 UTC to May 8, 2025 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?Yes | buy | 25.48 | $0.196 | $5 | May 8, 2025 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2025-03-03 21:33 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 06:58 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-26 06:58 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2025-03-03 21:33 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $281.63 and losing ones cost $269.51 across the latest 50 settled positions. 42% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $50.56 on “US bank failure in April?” (Yes); the largest loss, $32.5 on “Will another country win Eurovision 2024?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 8 May 2025. It has traded 113 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 15.38 |
| $0.650 |
| $10 |
| May 8, 2025 UTC |
 Will GPT-4.5 be released by March 31?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.180 | $3 | Feb 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will GPT-4.5 be released by February 28?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | Feb 13, 2025 UTC |
 Will GPT-5 be released by June 30?Yes | buy | 12.68 | $0.710 | $9 | Feb 13, 2025 UTC |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?No | buy | 16.13 | $0.620 | $10 | Feb 10, 2025 UTC |
 DeepSeek R2 released before May?Yes | buy | 23.23 | $0.301 | $7 | Feb 10, 2025 UTC |
 Will 'Emilia Pérez' win 1 Oscars at the 2025 Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Feb 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will 'Emilia Pérez' win 3 Oscars at the 2025 Academy Awards?No | buy | 12.66 | $0.790 | $10 | Feb 10, 2025 UTC |
 Will Mistral have a #1 AI model this year?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.090 | $3 | Jan 29, 2025 UTC |
 Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?Yes | buy | 12.9 | $0.310 | $4 | Jan 29, 2025 UTC |
 TikTok sale announced before April?No | buy | 15.22 | $0.460 | $7 | Jan 29, 2025 UTC |
 GTA VI released in 2025?No | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | Jan 29, 2025 UTC |
 DeepSeek banned in US before April?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.220 | $4 | Jan 29, 2025 UTC |
 AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | Jan 21, 2025 UTC |
 RedNote removed from App Store before July?Yes | buy | 17.65 | $0.170 | $3 | Jan 21, 2025 UTC |
 Trump issues 100+ Executive Orders orders on Day 1?No | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | Jan 20, 2025 UTC |
 Will $Trump FDV be $50b or more on Feb 1?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.700 | $10 | Jan 20, 2025 UTC |
| Will $Trump FDV be less than $5b on Feb 1?Yes | buy | 75.76 | $0.066 | $5 | Jan 20, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump say "TikTok" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 6.08 | $0.329 | $2 | Jan 20, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump say "middle class" during his inauguration speech?No | buy | 20.83 | $0.480 | $10 | Jan 20, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump say "America" 15 or more times during his inauguration speech?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.260 | $2 | Jan 20, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump say "illegal immigrant" or "illegal immigration" during his inauguration speech?No | buy | 10.2 | $0.490 | $5 | Jan 20, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump say "rig" or "rigged" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Jan 20, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump say "god" 4+ times during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | Jan 20, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Kamala" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Jan 20, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?No | buy | 25 | $0.600 | $15 | Jan 5, 2025 UTC |
 Will 'The Tortured Poets Department' win Album of the Year?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | Jan 5, 2025 UTC |
 Pepe ETF in 2025?No | buy | 21.39 | $0.935 | $20 | Jan 5, 2025 UTC |
 Will Michael Van Gerwen win the 2024-25 PDC World Championship?Yes | sell | 41.66 | $0.020 | $0.83 | Jan 3, 2025 UTC |
 Yoon arrested by Friday?No | buy | 25.64 | $0.780 | $20 | Jan 3, 2025 UTC |
 Yoon arrested by January 31?No | buy | 26.79 | $0.560 | $15 | Jan 3, 2025 UTC |
 Liverpool wins the Premier League?Yes | buy | 26.77 | $0.747 | $20 | Jan 3, 2025 UTC |
| Will Luke Littler win the 2024-25 PDC World Championship?Yes | sell | 32.25 | $0.691 | $22.3 | Jan 3, 2025 UTC |
 MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30?No | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | Dec 21, 2024 UTC |
| Will Michael Van Gerwen win the 2024-25 PDC World Championship?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Dec 21, 2024 UTC |
| Will Luke Littler win the 2024-25 PDC World Championship?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.310 | $10 | Dec 21, 2024 UTC |
 Will Kamala say "Vote" 3 or more times in her speech after the election is called?No | buy | 15.95 | $0.627 | $10 | Nov 6, 2024 UTC |
| Will Kamala say "It's not over" in her speech after the election is called?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | Nov 6, 2024 UTC |
| Will Kamala say "Democracy" 3 or more times in her speech after the election is called?Yes | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Nov 6, 2024 UTC |
| Will Kamala say "won" or "win" in her speech after the election is called?Yes | buy | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5 | Nov 6, 2024 UTC |
| Will Kamala say "Trump" 3 or more times in her speech after the election is called?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.660 | $10 | Nov 6, 2024 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 10.32 | $0.969 | $10 | Nov 6, 2024 UTC |
| Will Kamala say "It's not over" in her speech after the election is called?No | sell | 21.73 | $0.229 | $4.98 | Nov 6, 2024 UTC |
 Will someone else be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 267.86 | $0.028 | $7.5 | Nov 5, 2024 UTC |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 39.47 | $0.380 | $15 | Nov 5, 2024 UTC |
 Who will win young men?Trump | buy | 2.94 | $0.680 | $2 | Nov 5, 2024 UTC |
 Will Trump claim victory by midnight?No | buy | 19.23 | $0.520 | $10 | Nov 5, 2024 UTC |
 Will Trump say "MAGA" in his speech after the election is called?No | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | Nov 5, 2024 UTC |
 Will 538 call 48 states correctly?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.210 | $5 | Nov 5, 2024 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.