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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?Yes | buy | 25.48 | $0.196 | $5 | May 8, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 15.38 |
| $0.650 |
| $10 |
| May 8, 2025 |
Will GPT-4.5 be released by March 31?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.180 | $3 | Feb 13, 2025 |
Will GPT-4.5 be released by February 28?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | Feb 13, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released by June 30?Yes | buy | 12.68 | $0.710 | $9 | Feb 13, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?No | buy | 16.13 | $0.620 | $10 | Feb 10, 2025 |
DeepSeek R2 released before May?Yes | buy | 23.23 | $0.301 | $7 | Feb 10, 2025 |
Will 'Emilia Pérez' win 1 Oscars at the 2025 Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Feb 10, 2025 |
Will 'Emilia Pérez' win 3 Oscars at the 2025 Academy Awards?No | buy | 12.66 | $0.790 | $10 | Feb 10, 2025 |
Will Mistral have a #1 AI model this year?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.090 | $3 | Jan 29, 2025 |
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?Yes | buy | 12.9 | $0.310 | $4 | Jan 29, 2025 |
TikTok sale announced before April?No | buy | 15.22 | $0.460 | $7 | Jan 29, 2025 |
GTA VI released in 2025?No | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | Jan 29, 2025 |
DeepSeek banned in US before April?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.220 | $4 | Jan 29, 2025 |
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | Jan 21, 2025 |
RedNote removed from App Store before July?Yes | buy | 17.65 | $0.170 | $3 | Jan 21, 2025 |
Trump issues 100+ Executive Orders orders on Day 1?No | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | Jan 20, 2025 |
Will $Trump FDV be $50b or more on Feb 1?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.700 | $10 | Jan 20, 2025 |
Will $Trump FDV be less than $5b on Feb 1?Yes | buy | 75.76 | $0.066 | $5 | Jan 20, 2025 |
Will Trump say "TikTok" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 6.08 | $0.329 | $2 | Jan 20, 2025 |
Will Trump say "middle class" during his inauguration speech?No | buy | 20.83 | $0.480 | $10 | Jan 20, 2025 |
Will Trump say "America" 15 or more times during his inauguration speech?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.260 | $2 | Jan 20, 2025 |
Will Trump say "illegal immigrant" or "illegal immigration" during his inauguration speech?No | buy | 10.2 | $0.490 | $5 | Jan 20, 2025 |
Will Trump say "rig" or "rigged" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Jan 20, 2025 |
Will Trump say "god" 4+ times during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | Jan 20, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Kamala" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Jan 20, 2025 |
Will 'The Tortured Poets Department' win Album of the Year?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | Jan 5, 2025 |
Pepe ETF in 2025?No | buy | 21.39 | $0.935 | $20 | Jan 5, 2025 |
Will Michael Van Gerwen win the 2024-25 PDC World Championship?Yes | sell | 41.66 | $0.020 | $0.83 | Jan 3, 2025 |
Yoon arrested by Friday?No | buy | 25.64 | $0.780 | $20 | Jan 3, 2025 |
Yoon arrested by January 31?No | buy | 26.79 | $0.560 | $15 | Jan 3, 2025 |
Liverpool wins the Premier League?Yes | buy | 26.77 | $0.747 | $20 | Jan 3, 2025 |
Will Luke Littler win the 2024-25 PDC World Championship?Yes | sell | 32.25 | $0.691 | $22.3 | Jan 3, 2025 |
MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30?No | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | Dec 21, 2024 |
Will Michael Van Gerwen win the 2024-25 PDC World Championship?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Dec 21, 2024 |
Will Luke Littler win the 2024-25 PDC World Championship?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.310 | $10 | Dec 21, 2024 |
Will Kamala say "Vote" 3 or more times in her speech after the election is called?No | buy | 15.95 | $0.627 | $10 | Nov 6, 2024 |
Will Kamala say "It's not over" in her speech after the election is called?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | Nov 6, 2024 |
Will Kamala say "Democracy" 3 or more times in her speech after the election is called?Yes | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Nov 6, 2024 |
Will Kamala say "won" or "win" in her speech after the election is called?Yes | buy | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5 | Nov 6, 2024 |
Will Kamala say "Trump" 3 or more times in her speech after the election is called?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.660 | $10 | Nov 6, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 10.32 | $0.969 | $10 | Nov 6, 2024 |
Will Kamala say "It's not over" in her speech after the election is called?No | sell | 21.73 | $0.229 | $4.98 | Nov 6, 2024 |
Will someone else be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 267.86 | $0.028 | $7.5 | Nov 5, 2024 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 39.47 | $0.380 | $15 | Nov 5, 2024 |
Who will win young men?Trump | buy | 2.94 | $0.680 | $2 | Nov 5, 2024 |
Will Trump claim victory by midnight?No | buy | 19.23 | $0.520 | $10 | Nov 5, 2024 |
Will Trump say "MAGA" in his speech after the election is called?No | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | Nov 5, 2024 |
Will 538 call 48 states correctly?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.210 | $5 | Nov 5, 2024 |
Meerschaert vs. de Ridderde Ridder | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Nov 5, 2024 |