Analytics
Resolved No on 6 Nov 2024.
$46.37K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 7, 7:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 6 Nov 2024, chart shows 45%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Nov 2024 | 50.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Psy | Yes | 2.59K |
| nezuchills | Yes | 518.33 |
| Grootmaker | Yes | 239.29 |
| Attractive-Purity | Yes | 86 |
| Pinochan | Yes | 81.36 |
| TheNameless1 | Yes | 44.89 |
| Oakflintgun | Yes | 19.61 |
| edxp | Yes | 19.61 |
| nobi-attapol | Yes | 10.34 |
| PnwTd6 | Yes | 7.14 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump claims victory in the 2024 US presidential election by November 5, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". For example, Trump's 2020 election night speech would qualify (https://www.rev.com/blog/transcripts/donald-trump-2020-election-night-speech-transcript), where he stated "Frankly, we did win this election." Any public statement from Trump written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which Trump begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if his declaration of victory falls outside the markets timeframe. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Trump. A consensus of credible reporting will be used to determine whether Trump declared victory in the statement.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-claim-victory-by-midnight
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