Will $Trump FDV be less than $5b on Feb 1?

cryptoResolved

No, settled Feb 1, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$304.7K

Resolved

Settled

Feb 1, 2025 UTC

Topic roomTrump and the White House

Where it stands

Resolved No on 1 Feb 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 10% on 19 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 19 Jan 2025 to 1 Feb 2025, the highest close was 10% on 19 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 31 Jan 2025. $304.7K traded over the market's life.

32 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Feb 2, 8:31 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 19 Jan 2025 – 1 Feb 2025, chart shows 0%–15%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
19 Jan 2025	10.0%
1 Feb 2025	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	50.93K
ebosh.papa	Yes	5K
Fel7166	Yes	1.78K
mdfnlshts	Yes	1.28K

10 of 32 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the $TRUMP 1 minute candle for February 1, 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) has a final “Close” FDV of $5,000,000,000.00 or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be 1 minute price candles for $TRUMP available at https://dexscreener.com/solana/a8nphpcjqtqhdquk35uj9hy2ysgxfkczgunwvkd3k7vc, viewed by clicking Price and 1m on the top row of the chart, when multiplied by the total supply.