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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 9.08 | $0.991 | $8.99 | -$0.01 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | sell | 2.88 | $0.340 | $0.98 | 6h ago |
 |
| No |
| 11.25 |
| $0.800 |
| $8.61 |
| -$0.39 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027? | Yes | 96.33 | $0.202 | $6.74 | -$12.76 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 7.79 | $0.770 | $6.19 | +$0.19 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 27.71 | $0.325 | $5.4 | -$3.6 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 70.53 | $0.128 | $5.04 | -$3.96 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? | No | 4.76 | $0.630 | $4.73 | +$1.73 |
 Trump goes to space in 2026? | No | 4.61 | $0.977 | $4.51 | +$0.01 |
| LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 5.79 | $0.777 | $4.2 | -$0.3 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | No | 48.09 | $0.187 | $4.02 | -$4.98 |
 NATO dissolves before 2027? | No | 3.52 | $0.940 | $3.46 | +$0.15 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | No | 3.45 | $0.870 | $3.19 | +$0.19 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 3.3 | $0.909 | $3.15 | +$0.15 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? | No | 3.19 | $0.940 | $3.13 | +$0.13 |
 Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? | No | 3.49 | $0.860 | $3.12 | +$0.12 |
 Will Iran legalize gay marriage? | No | 3.17 | $0.978 | $3.1 | +$0 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | No | 3.13 | $0.957 | $3.05 | +$0.05 |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | No | 3.37 | $0.890 | $3 | +$0 |
 Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? | No | 3.53 | $0.850 | $2.21 | -$0.79 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31? | No | 1.9 | $0.790 | $1.62 | +$0.12 |
 Will the Republicans win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1.67 | $0.899 | $1.61 | +$0.11 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? | Yes | 6.52 | $0.230 | $1.57 | +$0.07 |
 Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? | No | 1.57 | $0.729 | $1.53 | +$0.39 |
 Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election by 0%-5%? | No | 1.67 | $0.900 | $1.52 | +$0.02 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | No | 1.63 | $0.920 | $1.52 | +$0.02 |
| buy |
| 1.95 |
| $0.770 |
| $1.5 |
| 1d ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.92 | $0.780 | $1.5 | 1d ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 1.63 | $0.920 | $1.5 | 1d ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.92 | $0.780 | $1.5 | 1d ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.270 | $1.5 | 1d ago |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Yes | buy | 6.52 | $0.230 | $1.5 | 1d ago |
 Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham in September?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.990 | $1.5 | 1d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No | buy | 1.57 | $0.955 | $1.5 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Yes | sell | 5.55 | $0.520 | $2.89 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 3.4 | $0.430 | $1.46 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 3.41 | $0.440 | $1.5 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.540 | $1.5 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.540 | $1.5 | 1d ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30?No | buy | 1.7 | $0.880 | $1.5 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 2.88 | $0.520 | $1.5 | 4d ago |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 1.63 | $0.920 | $1.5 | 5d ago |
 Will Lacy and Marlon have fewer than 2 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?No | buy | 1.5 | $0.998 | $1.5 | 5d ago |
| Will Lacy and Marlon have fewer than 2 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?No | buy | 1.5 | $0.999 | $1.5 | 5d ago |
| Will Lacy and Marlon have fewer than 2 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?No | buy | 1.5 | $0.998 | $1.5 | 5d ago |
| Will Lacy and Marlon have fewer than 2 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?No | buy | 1.5 | $0.998 | $1.5 | 5d ago |
 Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Yes | sell | 10.09 | $0.780 | $7.87 | 5d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.960 | $1.5 | 6d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.050 | $1.5 | 6d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 24.54 | $0.050 | $1.23 | 6d ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30?No | buy | 1.67 | $0.900 | $1.5 | 7d ago |
 Will Trump praise Bryson DeChambeau in August?Yes | sell | 1.55 | $0.905 | $1.4 | 7d ago |
| Will Trump praise Bryson DeChambeau in August?Yes | buy | 1.56 | $0.962 | $1.5 | 7d ago |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Yes | buy | 21.43 | $0.070 | $1.5 | 7d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?No | sell | 1.61 | $0.930 | $1.5 | 7d ago |
| Trump goes to space in 2026?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.984 | $1.5 | 7d ago |
 Iran leadership change by October 31?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.060 | $1.5 | 7d ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.090 | $1.35 | 8d ago |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 1.6 | $0.940 | $1.5 | 9d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?No | buy | 1.72 | $0.870 | $1.5 | 9d ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.100 | $1.5 | 9d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?No | buy | 1.72 | $0.870 | $1.5 | 9d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | sell | 3.15 | $0.959 | $3.02 | 9d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No | sell | 3.05 | $0.971 | $2.96 | 9d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No | buy | 1.53 | $0.982 | $1.5 | 9d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No | buy | 1.53 | $0.980 | $1.5 | 9d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Yes | buy | 48.39 | $0.031 | $1.5 | 9d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?No | buy | 1.61 | $0.930 | $1.5 | 9d ago |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 8.38 | $0.840 | $7.04 | 9d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.944 | $1.5 | 9d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 1.57 | $0.958 | $1.5 | 9d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.081 | $1.5 | 9d ago |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.081 | $1.5 | 9d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through October 31?No | buy | 2.24 | $0.670 | $1.5 | 9d ago |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 1.86 | $0.808 | $1.5 | 9d ago |