Latest trade
Oct 16, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 8:55 AM UTC.
Analytics
Rapid Raven B991 is down $31.21 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-24 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 16, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 8:55 AM UTC.
$1.5 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 25 markets; 62.0% were buys. They run from Oct 3, 2026 UTC to Oct 16, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027? | Yes | 96.33 | $0.202 | $9.15 | -$10.35 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?Yes | buy | 1.51 | $0.992 | $1.5 | 7d ago |
 |
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-24 08:13 UTC
Polymarket public position response
48 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 08:55 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 08:55 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-14 20:19 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $281.45 and losing ones cost $87.05 across the latest 50 settled positions. 62% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $39.39 on “US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?” (Yes); the largest loss, $9 on “Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?” (Yes).
It first traded on 16 Mar 2026 and most recently on 16 Oct 2026. It has traded 504 markets. Its open positions are worth $111.32 across 48 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 9.08 |
| $0.991 |
| $8.9 |
| -$0.1 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 11.25 | $0.800 | $8.83 | -$0.17 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 70.53 | $0.128 | $6.84 | -$2.16 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 4.72 | $0.953 | $4.56 | +$0.06 |
 Trump goes to space in 2026? | No | 4.61 | $0.977 | $4.5 | -$0 |
 NATO dissolves before 2027? | No | 3.52 | $0.940 | $3.48 | +$0.17 |
 Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? | No | 3.53 | $0.850 | $3.32 | +$0.32 |
 Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nebraska gubernatorial election by 5%-10%? | No | 4.14 | $0.725 | $3.23 | +$0.23 |
 Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? | No | 3.49 | $0.860 | $3.19 | +$0.19 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 3.3 | $0.909 | $3.15 | +$0.15 |
 Will Iran legalize gay marriage? | No | 3.17 | $0.978 | $3.1 | +$0.01 |
 Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | Yes | 3.75 | $0.400 | $2.91 | +$1.41 |
 Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 6.98 | $0.430 | $2.2 | -$0.8 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Arkansas Senate election by 10%-15%? | Yes | 6.02 | $0.249 | $2.05 | +$0.55 |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | No | 2.11 | $0.710 | $1.94 | +$0.44 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-11 House election by 30% or more? | No | 1.74 | $0.860 | $1.68 | +$0.18 |
 Will the Republicans win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1.67 | $0.899 | $1.63 | +$0.13 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election by 20%-25%? | No | 1.7 | $0.880 | $1.62 | +$0.12 |
 Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.85 | $0.810 | $1.61 | +$0.11 |
 Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? | No | 1.57 | $0.955 | $1.54 | +$0.04 |
 Will Elon register any party before 2027? | No | 1.58 | $0.948 | $1.52 | +$0.02 |
 Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31? | No | 1.58 | $0.950 | $1.51 | +$0.01 |
 Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? | No | 1.97 | $0.760 | $1.51 | +$0.01 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 1.61 | $0.930 | $1.51 | +$0.01 |
| sell |
| 2.57 |
| $0.670 |
| $1.72 |
| 7d ago |
 Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?No | buy | 1.61 | $0.931 | $1.5 | 8d ago |
 Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No | sell | 1.63 | $0.910 | $1.48 | 8d ago |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No | buy | 1.63 | $0.920 | $1.5 | 8d ago |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No | sell | 1.61 | $0.910 | $1.47 | 8d ago |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No | buy | 1.61 | $0.930 | $1.5 | 9d ago |
 Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?No | sell | 1.66 | $0.957 | $1.59 | 9d ago |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?No | buy | 1.97 | $0.760 | $1.5 | 9d ago |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.960 | $1.5 | 9d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 27.7 | $0.130 | $3.6 | 9d ago |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?No | buy | 1.67 | $0.900 | $1.5 | 11d ago |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?Yes | buy | 5.51 | $0.272 | $1.5 | 11d ago |
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.13 | $0.290 | $2.07 | 11d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.57 | $0.583 | $1.5 | 12d ago |
 Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 3.19 | $0.510 | $1.63 | 12d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.330 | $1.5 | 12d ago |
 Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | sell | 1.54 | $0.953 | $1.47 | 12d ago |
| Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.49 | $0.430 | $1.5 | 15d ago |
 Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.49 | $0.430 | $1.5 | 15d ago |
 Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.49 | $0.430 | $1.5 | 15d ago |
| Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.49 | $0.430 | $1.5 | 15d ago |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No | sell | 6.56 | $0.930 | $6.1 | 15d ago |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.974 | $1.5 | 16d ago |
 NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027?No | sell | 1.56 | $0.952 | $1.49 | 16d ago |
 Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV?No | sell | 1.68 | $0.880 | $1.48 | 17d ago |
| Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 3.19 | $0.470 | $1.5 | 17d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.59 | $0.580 | $1.5 | 18d ago |
 Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?No | sell | 3.26 | $0.910 | $2.97 | 18d ago |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?No | buy | 1.63 | $0.920 | $1.5 | 18d ago |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?No | buy | 1.63 | $0.920 | $1.5 | 18d ago |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?No | sell | 3.22 | $0.930 | $2.99 | 18d ago |
| Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.85 | $0.810 | $1.5 | 18d ago |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 16.48 | $0.091 | $1.5 | 19d ago |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No | sell | 1.61 | $0.910 | $1.47 | 19d ago |
 Will Jay Clayton be Trump's AI czar?Yes | buy | 1.65 | $0.910 | $1.5 | 19d ago |
| Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.88 | $0.490 | $1.41 | 19d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No | buy | 1.61 | $0.930 | $1.5 | 19d ago |
 Spain snap election called by October 31?Yes | sell | 2.88 | $0.500 | $1.44 | 19d ago |
| Spain snap election called by October 31?Yes | buy | 2.88 | $0.520 | $1.5 | 20d ago |
| Will MrBeast's next video get at least 100 million views on week 1?Yes | sell | 1.61 | $0.900 | $1.45 | 20d ago |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No | buy | 1.69 | $0.890 | $1.5 | 20d ago |
| Will MrBeast's next video get at least 100 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 1.61 | $0.930 | $1.5 | 20d ago |
| Will MrBeast's next video get at least 100 million views on week 1?Yes | sell | 3.24 | $0.920 | $2.98 | 20d ago |
| Will MrBeast's next video get at least 100 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 1.61 | $0.930 | $1.5 | 20d ago |
| Will MrBeast's next video get at least 100 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 1.63 | $0.920 | $1.5 | 20d ago |
| Will MrBeast's next video get at least 45 million views on day 1?Yes | sell | 3.19 | $0.920 | $2.93 | 20d ago |
| Will MrBeast's next video get at least 45 million views on day 1?Yes | buy | 1.6 | $0.940 | $1.5 | 20d ago |
| Will MrBeast's next video get at least 45 million views on day 1?Yes | buy | 1.6 | $0.940 | $1.5 | 20d ago |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No | buy | 1.63 | $0.920 | $1.5 | 20d ago |
3 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.