Analytics
Resolved Yes on 5 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 95%. Yes opened at 31.5% on 30 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 30 Sep 2026 to 5 Oct 2026, the highest close was 95% on 5 Oct 2026 and the lowest 31.5% on 30 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 56 points up, to 90% on 3 Oct 2026. $81.75K traded over the market's life.
47 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 6, 3:53 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 30 Sep 2026 – 5 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Sep 2026 | 31.5% |
| 5 Oct 2026 | 95.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 12.43K |
| Analista. | No | 5.06K |
| Golden Beacon 67A6 | No | 1.89K |
| Turbulent-Decline-Router | No | 961 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be AI czar. An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to appoint a specific individual as AI czar will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal appointment actually occurs. Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the AI czar or future AI czar. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify. An announcement will qualify regardless of the name used to refer to AI, including "super intelligence" (SI). However, the person must be announced as the "czar" or a derivative thereof. If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for AI czar by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Czar by December 31”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-trumps-ai-czar-in-2026
| HerrieDavis | No | 632.11 |
| HornyBibi | No | 500.8 |
| tradetosurvive1 | No | 490.5 |
| ragutwo | No | 345 |
| BikesAreTheBikes | No | 330.41 |
| whyialwayslose | No | 315 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
