Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by December 31?No | buy | 8.93 | $0.560 | $5 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 5.68 |
| $0.968 |
| $5.5 |
| Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump end Department of Education in 2025?Yes | sell | 22.72 | $0.022 | $0.5 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Rams vs. JaguarsJaguars | buy | 35.71 | $0.028 | $1 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September meeting?Yes | buy | 111.96 | $0.027 | $3 | Aug 25, 2025 |
 Houthi strike on Israel by August 31?No | buy | 2.5K | $0.002 | $5 | Aug 25, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Aug 22, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland?Yes | buy | 156.25 | $0.032 | $5 | Aug 22, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary?Yes | buy | 94.53 | $0.053 | $5 | Aug 22, 2025 |
 Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | buy | 8.21 | $0.609 | $5 | Aug 22, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Aug 22, 2025 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Aug 22, 2025 |
 Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?No | buy | 2.5K | $0.004 | $10 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Jul 28, 2025 |
| Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?No | buy | 2.5K | $0.002 | $5 | Jul 28, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.950 | $5 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by July 11?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?Yes | buy | 6.13 | $0.816 | $5 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.360 | $5 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?No | buy | 7.58 | $0.660 | $5 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?Yes | buy | 25.17 | $0.199 | $5 | Apr 29, 2025 |
 Will Robert Sarah be the next pope?Yes | buy | 128.21 | $0.039 | $5 | Apr 29, 2025 |
 Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?Yes | buy | 135.14 | $0.037 | $5 | Apr 29, 2025 |
 Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | Apr 29, 2025 |
| Will Trump end Department of Education in 2025?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Mar 29, 2025 |
 US lifts Russia sanctions before April?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.981 | $5 | Mar 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump end USAID in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | Mar 29, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Yes | buy | 8.53 | $0.586 | $5 | Mar 11, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?No | buy | 8.06 | $0.620 | $5 | Mar 11, 2025 |
| Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Yes | buy | 5.52 | $0.724 | $4 | Mar 6, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.290 | $5 | Feb 19, 2025 |
 Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 5.2 | $0.961 | $5 | Feb 19, 2025 |
 Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 33.11 | $0.151 | $5 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 9.68 | $0.620 | $6 | Feb 11, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | Feb 11, 2025 |
| Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Feb 11, 2025 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.070 | $7 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 Will Trump remove tariff on Mexico before March?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Feb 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump remove tariff on Canada before March?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | Feb 7, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5 | Feb 7, 2025 |
 Super Bowl LIX WinnerChiefs | buy | 28.3 | $0.530 | $15 | Feb 7, 2025 |
 Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?Yes | buy | 16.39 | $0.305 | $5 | Jan 21, 2025 |
 Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?No | buy | 7.28 | $0.687 | $5 | Jan 21, 2025 |
 Trump imposes 40% tariff on China in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | Jan 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "America first" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | Jan 19, 2025 |
 Will Biden pardon Fauci?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | Jan 19, 2025 |
 Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?Yes | buy | 5.64 | $0.670 | $3.78 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?Yes | buy | 7.25 | $0.690 | $5 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?Yes | buy | 7.25 | $0.690 | $5 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 Will a balloon deflate during the 2024 Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.600 | $5 | Nov 28, 2024 |