
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 42% on 21 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 74 daily closes on record from 21 Oct 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 57.5% on 27 Oct 2025 and the lowest 0.4% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 34 points up, to 57.5% on 27 Oct 2025. $117.07K traded over the market's life.
150 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 74 points, 21 Oct 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Oct 2025 | 42.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| kiri1 | Yes | 681.58 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 494 |
| dontshowmyname | Yes | 454.67 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the jewels stolen from the Louvre’s Galerie d’Apollon are officially recovered by the listed date ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” A single item (e.g., one earring) will suffice regardless of if it is missing a diamond or other element; however, recovery of only a fragment or part of an item (for example, a loose stone or a piece of a crown) will not suffice The primary resolution source will be official statements from the Louvre or the French government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-any-of-the-stolen-louvre-jewels-be-recovered-by
| Yes |
| 399.97 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 331 |
| bloodsportbloodsport | Yes | 328.91 |
| henryspencer | Yes | 324.44 |
| Mr.Daddycool | Yes | 252.21 |
| Newshound | Yes | 250 |
| vagabonden | Yes | 239.93 |
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