Analytics
Resolved Yes on 20 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 31%. Yes opened at 11.5% on 3 Dec 2024. Before it settled, the high was 41.5% on 7 Dec 2024 and the low 10.5% on 2 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 27 points up, to 41% on 5 Dec 2024. $1.74M traded over the market's life.
146 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 21, 2:51 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 49 points, 3 Dec 2024 – 20 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Dec 2024 | 11.5% |
| 20 Jan 2025 | 31.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthony Fauci receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve by Joseph Biden, before the time the next presidential inauguration starts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes", the pardon, commutation, or reprieve must be issued by Joseph Biden within his first presidential term. If it becomes impossible for Joseph Biden issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-biden-pardon
| AnSpecialOne | No | 6K |
| polyusr | No | 5.32K |
| Enclose1217 | No | 3.95K |
| Long-Dong-Silver | No | 2.07K |
| bmtree | No | 1.92K |
| iAmTrader | No | 1.91K |
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