
Resolved No on 1 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.2%. Yes opened at 29% on 3 Feb 2025. Before it settled, the high was 29% on 3 Feb 2025 and the low 0.8% on 28 Feb 2025. Its largest one-day move was 17 points up, to 25.5% on 13 Feb 2025. $219.06K traded over the market's life.
33 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 2, 8:09 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 27 points, 3 Feb 2025 – 1 Mar 2025, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Feb 2025 | 29.0% |
| 1 Mar 2025 | 0.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| whatisthisclownmarket | Yes | 7.47K |
| bigtex | Yes | 781.63 |
| fte | Yes | 546.88 |
| brooksWasHere | Yes | 526.32 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
On February 1, Donald Trump imposed a 25% tariff on imports from Canada (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/02/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-imposes-tariffs-on-imports-from-canada-mexico-and-china/) This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action which removes the 25% general tariff on Canada by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. Actions which remove the general 25% tariff will qualify even if there are item specific exceptions for which the tariff still applies. However, lowering the general tariff below 25% without removing it will not qualify. Any action which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the removal goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-remove-blanket-tariff-on-canada-before-march
| lebronjack | Yes | 442.92 |
| Joshuatrader | Yes | 236.74 |
| BabyYoda12 | Yes | 200 |
| memer5941 | Yes | 146.12 |
| Cypher117 | Yes | 100 |
| VpYpY | Yes | 99.24 |
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