Analytics
Resolved Yes on 31 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 39% on 25 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 25 Jul 2025 to 31 Jul 2025, the highest close was 100% on 31 Jul 2025 and the lowest 30.5% on 26 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 69 points up, to 99.7% on 27 Jul 2025. $15.04M traded over the market's life.
389 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 29, 2:20 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 25 Jul 2025 – 31 Jul 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Jul 2025 | 39.0% |
| 31 Jul 2025 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Withdraw | No | 1.05M |
| Fatwood | No | 585.7K |
| Vincy7778 | No | 498.93K |
| whaleornotwhale | No | 313.03K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Thailand initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Cambodian soil or any Cambodian embassy or consulate between July 24, 1:00 PM ET and July 25, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Thai military forces that impact Cambodian ground territory or any official Cambodian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Cambodian soil is hit by an Thailand missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Thailand government or a consensus of credible reporting. Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Cambodian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Thai ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/thailand-strikes-cambodia-by-friday
| Monocular | No | 203.81K |
| Youngrxe | No | 149.17K |
| robotbridge25 | No | 121.37K |
| asim5911 | No | 113.23K |
| sam96123 | No | 108.76K |
| collectorr | No | 102.78K |
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