Latest trade
Oct 24, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 4:27 PM UTC.
Royal Falcon 589E is down $88.54 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-24 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 24, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 4:27 PM UTC.
$10.1 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 26 markets; 40.0% were buys. They run from Oct 22, 2026 UTC to Oct 24, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T? | No | 186.88 | $0.757 | $138.01 | -$3.46 |
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of October 2026?Yes | sell | 5.6 | $0.210 | $1.18 | 24m ago |
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Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-24 09:06 UTC
Polymarket public position response
27 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 16:27 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 16:27 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-24 09:06 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $438.61 and losing ones cost $485.5 across the latest 50 settled positions. 36% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $97.6 on “Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $102.87 on “Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 24 Oct 2026. It has traded 35 markets. Its open positions are worth $545.02 across 27 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 200 |
| $0.733 |
| $135.9 |
| -$10.7 |
Will Lisa Beare win the next Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows British Columbia Legislative Assembly election? | No | 110 | $0.660 | $48.4 | -$24.2 |
Will world GDP growth be 3.2% in 2026? | No | 40 | $0.874 | $34.22 | -$0.74 |
Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | No | 40 | $0.720 | $26.2 | -$2.6 |
Will Sunderland finish 9th-24th in UEL league phase? | No | 40 | $0.610 | $22.6 | -$1.8 |
Will J.K. Dobbins have 874.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | No | 40 | $0.590 | $22 | -$1.6 |
Ethereal FDV above $25M one day after launch? | No | 37 | $0.600 | $21.65 | -$0.56 |
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027? | Yes | 40 | $0.683 | $19.06 | -$8.26 |
Will JJ Wetherholt win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award? | No | 20 | $0.590 | $13 | +$1.2 |
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026? | No | 23 | $0.636 | $12.67 | -$1.96 |
Will Ezequiel Duran win a 2026 AL Gold Glove Award? | No | 20 | $0.512 | $10.61 | +$0.37 |
Jonathan Powell out as UK National Security Adviser by December 31? | Yes | 20 | $0.550 | $9.7 | -$1.3 |
Will Corbin Carroll win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award? | No | 20 | $0.400 | $6.2 | -$1.8 |
Will Nicki Minaj release a new song in 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.377 | $6.12 | -$1.42 |
Will "Wild Horse Nine" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | No | 17.47 | $0.330 | $5.5 | -$0.26 |
Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 34.4 | $0.210 | $3.96 | -$3.27 |
Will Connor Wood be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35? | Yes | 22.92 | $0.300 | $3.78 | -$3.09 |
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-07 House election by 0%-3%? | Yes | 20 | $0.220 | $3.73 | -$0.67 |
Will there be at least 5500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | No | 20 | $0.069 | $1.01 | -$0.37 |
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by January 15, 2027? | No | 0.99 | $0.540 | $0.53 | $0 |
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? | Yes | 0.2 | $0.230 | $0.06 | +$0.01 |
Will Phil Lord be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 0.4 | $0.100 | $0.03 | -$0.01 |
Will AP call US Senate control by November 6, 11:59 PM? | No | 0.15 | $0.160 | $0.03 | +$0.01 |
Will Jared McCain win the 2026-27 NBA Sixth Man of the Year? | Yes | 0.32 | $0.124 | $0.02 | -$0.02 |
| sell |
| 11 |
| $0.636 |
| $7 |
| 4h ago |
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.636 | $3.18 | 4h ago |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?No | sell | 7 | $0.840 | $5.88 | 7h ago |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?No | sell | 12 | $0.840 | $10.08 | 8h ago |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?No | sell | 100 | $0.840 | $84 | 8h ago |
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.1% in September?Yes | sell | 18.58 | $0.480 | $8.92 | 12h ago |
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 24?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.300 | $6 | 13h ago |
Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes | sell | 5.85 | $0.020 | $0.12 | 13h ago |
Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes | sell | 34.15 | $0.020 | $0.68 | 13h ago |
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 62-66%?No | sell | 50.6 | $0.620 | $31.37 | 14h ago |
| Will "Wild Horse Nine" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | sell | 4 | $0.330 | $1.32 | 15h ago |
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 24?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.340 | $2.72 | 15h ago |
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 24?Yes | sell | 2.61 | $0.340 | $0.89 | 15h ago |
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 24?Yes | sell | 29.38 | $0.340 | $9.99 | 17h ago |
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 24?No | sell | 7.4 | $0.740 | $5.48 | 18h ago |
Will Jess Wilson be the next Premier of Victoria?Yes | sell | 13.15 | $0.810 | $10.65 | 18h ago |
Turek flips Hinson for Iowa Senate by November 2?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.440 | $13.2 | 21h ago |
Turek flips Hinson for Iowa Senate by November 2?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.440 | $22 | 21h ago |
Turek flips Hinson for Iowa Senate by November 2?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.440 | $8.8 | 21h ago |
Will "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $8M and $11M?No | sell | 71 | $0.310 | $22.01 | 21h ago |
Will Connor Wood be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.310 | $0.31 | 22h ago |
| Will "Wild Horse Nine" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | sell | 27.27 | $0.330 | $9 | 22h ago |
| Will "Wild Horse Nine" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | sell | 50 | $0.330 | $16.5 | 22h ago |
| Will "Wild Horse Nine" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | sell | 1.26 | $0.330 | $0.42 | 23h ago |
| Will "Wild Horse Nine" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.670 | $33.5 | 1d ago |
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 62-66%?No | sell | 8 | $0.620 | $4.96 | 1d ago |
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 62-66%?No | sell | 61.4 | $0.620 | $38.07 | 1d ago |
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.740 | $74 | 1d ago |
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.300 | $30 | 1d ago |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Yes | buy | 103 | $0.430 | $44.29 | 1d ago |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?No | buy | 103 | $0.580 | $59.74 | 1d ago |
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?No | buy | 34 | $0.700 | $23.8 | 1d ago |
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 34 | $0.300 | $10.2 | 1d ago |
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?No | buy | 200 | $0.710 | $142 | 1d ago |
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.300 | $60 | 1d ago |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 103 | $0.720 | $74.16 | 1d ago |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?No | buy | 103 | $0.310 | $31.93 | 1d ago |
Will Trump's approval rating hit 41% by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 6 | $0.620 | $3.72 | 1d ago |
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 305 | $0.180 | $54.9 | 1d ago |
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 305 | $0.837 | $255.37 | 1d ago |
Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on October 23, 2026?No | buy | 60 | $0.680 | $40.8 | 2d ago |
Will Trump's approval rating hit 41% by June 30, 2027?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.380 | $4.56 | 2d ago |
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-07 House election by 0%-3%?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.220 | $4.4 | 2d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 86 | $0.357 | $30.7 | 2d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?No | buy | 86 | $0.670 | $57.62 | 2d ago |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.530 | $0.01 | 2d ago |
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?Yes | sell | 27.87 | $0.359 | $10.01 | 2d ago |
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?Yes | buy | 27.88 | $0.363 | $10.12 | 2d ago |
| Will AP call US House control by November 4, 3:59 AM?Yes | sell | 1.15 | $0.630 | $0.72 | 2d ago |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 3 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.