Latest trade
Oct 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 5:30 PM UTC.
Analytics
Royal Falcon 589E is down $38.87 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 46 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-23 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 5:30 PM UTC.
$27.96 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 24 markets; 80.0% were buys. They run from Oct 21, 2026 UTC to Oct 23, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? | No | 200 | $0.733 | $140.1 | -$6.5 |
 Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Wild Horse Nine" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | sell | 1.26 | $0.330 | $0.42 | 26m ago |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-23 16:21 UTC
Polymarket public position response
36 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-23 17:30 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-23 17:30 UTC
polymarket positions
48 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-23 16:21 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $438.26 and losing ones cost $485.5 across 46 settled positions. 34.8% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $97.6 on “Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $102.87 on “Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 23 Oct 2026. It has traded 25 markets. Its open positions are worth $791.33 across 36 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 186.88 |
| $0.757 |
| $137.64 |
| -$3.83 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%? | No | 119 | $0.840 | $95.8 | -$4.17 |
 Will Lisa Beare win the next Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows British Columbia Legislative Assembly election? | No | 110 | $0.660 | $64.35 | -$8.25 |
 Turek flips Hinson for Iowa Senate by November 2? | Yes | 100 | $0.440 | $42 | -$2 |
 Will world GDP growth be 3.2% in 2026? | No | 40 | $0.874 | $34.16 | -$0.8 |
 Will "Wild Horse Nine" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | No | 98.74 | $0.330 | $31.1 | -$1.48 |
 Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 62-66%? | No | 50.6 | $0.620 | $29.1 | -$2.28 |
 Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | No | 40 | $0.720 | $29 | +$0.2 |
 Will Sunderland finish 9th-24th in UEL league phase? | No | 40 | $0.610 | $22.4 | -$2 |
 Will J.K. Dobbins have 874.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | No | 40 | $0.590 | $22.2 | -$1.4 |
 Ethereal FDV above $25M one day after launch? | No | 37 | $0.600 | $22.02 | -$0.19 |
 Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027? | Yes | 40 | $0.683 | $18.64 | -$8.68 |
 Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026? | No | 39 | $0.636 | $17.78 | -$7.02 |
 Will "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $8M and $11M? | No | 71 | $0.310 | $14.56 | -$7.46 |
 Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 24? | Yes | 40 | $0.340 | $13 | -$0.6 |
 Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on October 23, 2026? | No | 60 | $0.680 | $11.4 | -$29.4 |
 Will Jess Wilson be the next Premier of Victoria? | Yes | 13.15 | $0.810 | $9.8 | -$0.85 |
 Will Core PCE YoY be 3.1% in September? | Yes | 18.58 | $0.480 | $8.36 | -$0.56 |
 Will Connor Wood be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35? | Yes | 23.92 | $0.300 | $7.42 | +$0.24 |
 Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 40 | $0.210 | $5.8 | -$2.6 |
 Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 24? | No | 7.41 | $0.740 | $5.15 | -$0.33 |
 Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-07 House election by 0%-3%? | Yes | 20 | $0.220 | $3.66 | -$0.74 |
 Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 24? | Yes | 20 | $0.300 | $2.9 | -$3.1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 23? | No | 0.91 | $0.680 | $0.91 | +$0.29 |
| buy |
| 50 |
| $0.670 |
| $33.5 |
| 1h ago |
| Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 62-66%?No | sell | 8 | $0.620 | $4.96 | 1h ago |
| Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 62-66%?No | sell | 61.4 | $0.620 | $38.07 | 1h ago |
 Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.740 | $74 | 19h ago |
| Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.300 | $30 | 19h ago |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Yes | buy | 103 | $0.430 | $44.29 | 19h ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?No | buy | 103 | $0.580 | $59.74 | 19h ago |
 Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?No | buy | 34 | $0.700 | $23.8 | 19h ago |
| Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 34 | $0.300 | $10.2 | 19h ago |
| Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?No | buy | 200 | $0.710 | $142 | 20h ago |
| Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.300 | $60 | 20h ago |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 103 | $0.720 | $74.16 | 22h ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?No | buy | 103 | $0.310 | $31.93 | 22h ago |
 Will Trump's approval rating hit 41% by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 6 | $0.620 | $3.72 | 22h ago |
 Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 305 | $0.180 | $54.9 | 23h ago |
| Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 305 | $0.837 | $255.37 | 23h ago |
| Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on October 23, 2026?No | buy | 60 | $0.680 | $40.8 | 1d ago |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 41% by June 30, 2027?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.380 | $4.56 | 1d ago |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-07 House election by 0%-3%?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.220 | $4.4 | 1d ago |
 Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 86 | $0.357 | $30.7 | 1d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?No | buy | 86 | $0.670 | $57.62 | 1d ago |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.530 | $0.01 | 1d ago |
 Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?Yes | sell | 27.87 | $0.359 | $10.01 | 1d ago |
| Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?Yes | buy | 27.88 | $0.363 | $10.12 | 1d ago |
| Will AP call US House control by November 4, 3:59 AM?Yes | sell | 1.15 | $0.630 | $0.72 | 1d ago |
| Will AP call US House control by November 4, 3:59 AM?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.800 | $0.92 | 1d ago |
 Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?No | buy | 170 | $0.750 | $127.5 | 1d ago |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?Yes | buy | 170 | $0.260 | $44.2 | 1d ago |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 41% by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.380 | $6.84 | 1d ago |
| Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?No | sell | 21 | $0.630 | $13.23 | 1d ago |
| Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?No | buy | 60 | $0.636 | $38.16 | 1d ago |
 Will NDP win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.154 | $16.91 | 1d ago |
| Will NDP win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?No | buy | 110 | $0.880 | $96.8 | 1d ago |
| Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.413 | $20.65 | 1d ago |
| Will Together win 14-16 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes | sell | 2.06 | $0.310 | $0.64 | 1d ago |
| Will Together win 14-16 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes | buy | 2.06 | $0.340 | $0.7 | 1d ago |
| Will AP call US House control by November 13, 11:59 PM?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.920 | $18.4 | 1d ago |
| Will AP call US House control by November 13, 11:59 PM?No | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | 1d ago |
 Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.070 | $7 | 1d ago |
| Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.951 | $95.1 | 1d ago |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.610 | $30.5 | 1d ago |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028?No | buy | 50 | $0.430 | $21.5 | 1d ago |
| Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.413 | $20.65 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | sell | 168.88 | $0.300 | $50.66 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.310 | $62 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | buy | 31.12 | $0.690 | $21.47 | 1d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.340 | $34 | 1d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?No | buy | 100 | $0.680 | $68 | 1d ago |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?No | buy | 32 | $0.810 | $25.92 | 1d ago |
3 of 5 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 3 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.