Analytics
Yes is at 42.5%, down 6 points from 48.5% when the market opened on 27 May 2026.
Across the 151 daily closes on record from 27 May 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 87.5% on 17 Jul 2026 and the lowest 35% on 24 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 43.5%; a month before, 44%. Its largest one-day move was 37 points up, to 80.5% on 15 Jun 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Ethereal FDV above ___ one day after launch?”.
$35.53K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $917.65, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 401 trades, $4.05K bought Yes and $2.35K bought No; the largest was a $2.32K buy of Yes at 64.7¢.
The largest Yes position is tryingmyluckhere with 396 shares; the largest No position is LornaPredicts with 337. Ten wallets hold 85.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 7:00 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 151 points, 27 May 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 May 2026 | 48.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 42.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| tryingmyluckhere | Yes | 396.46 |
| LornaPredicts | No | 337 |
| qqqmmmccc | No | 278.66 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ethereal's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ethereal (https://x.com/etherealdex) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ethereal-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-774
| AlexPovtar4 |
| Yes |
| 210 |
| vinii | No | 163.5 |
| aztecwillnevercooke | Yes | 158.55 |
| Dapsy | Yes | 100 |
| stra-h11 | No | 89.73 |
| Smart-Tuxedo | Yes | 81.8 |
| pppnn | No | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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